The House's bipartisan 235-191 passage of a three-year extension for FISA Section 702 on April 29 provides strong momentum toward reauthorization before its midnight expiration, reflecting trader consensus at 81% "Yes" amid intelligence community emphasis on the program's vital role in foreign surveillance. This follows prior short-term extensions, including a 10-day patch earlier in April, as Congress navigated privacy concerns over warrantless "backdoor" searches of Americans' data. Senate action remains pending, with Majority Leader Thune signaling resistance to amendments like warrant requirements, but historical patterns of last-minute bipartisan deals—bolstered by national security pressures—underpin optimism despite objections from figures like Rep. Thomas Massie and Sen. Ron Wyden urging reforms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$43,562 Vol.
$43,562 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$43,562 Vol.
$43,562 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House's bipartisan 235-191 passage of a three-year extension for FISA Section 702 on April 29 provides strong momentum toward reauthorization before its midnight expiration, reflecting trader consensus at 81% "Yes" amid intelligence community emphasis on the program's vital role in foreign surveillance. This follows prior short-term extensions, including a 10-day patch earlier in April, as Congress navigated privacy concerns over warrantless "backdoor" searches of Americans' data. Senate action remains pending, with Majority Leader Thune signaling resistance to amendments like warrant requirements, but historical patterns of last-minute bipartisan deals—bolstered by national security pressures—underpin optimism despite objections from figures like Rep. Thomas Massie and Sen. Ron Wyden urging reforms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Volume
$43,562End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House's bipartisan 235-191 passage of a three-year extension for FISA Section 702 on April 29 provides strong momentum toward reauthorization before its midnight expiration, reflecting trader consensus at 81% "Yes" amid intelligence community emphasis on the program's vital role in foreign surveillance. This follows prior short-term extensions, including a 10-day patch earlier in April, as Congress navigated privacy concerns over warrantless "backdoor" searches of Americans' data. Senate action remains pending, with Majority Leader Thune signaling resistance to amendments like warrant requirements, but historical patterns of last-minute bipartisan deals—bolstered by national security pressures—underpin optimism despite objections from figures like Rep. Thomas Massie and Sen. Ron Wyden urging reforms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,209End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The House's bipartisan 235-191 passage of a three-year extension for FISA Section 702 on April 29 provides strong momentum toward reauthorization before its midnight expiration, reflecting trader consensus at 81% "Yes" amid intelligence community emphasis on the program's vital role in foreign surveillance. This follows prior short-term extensions, including a 10-day patch earlier in April, as Congress navigated privacy concerns over warrantless "backdoor" searches of Americans' data. Senate action remains pending, with Majority Leader Thune signaling resistance to amendments like warrant requirements, but historical patterns of last-minute bipartisan deals—bolstered by national security pressures—underpin optimism despite objections from figures like Rep. Thomas Massie and Sen. Ron Wyden urging reforms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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