The House's 235-191 passage yesterday of a three-year reauthorization of FISA Section 702 without warrant requirements has driven trader consensus to 68.5% for renewal before the April 30 expiration, following a prior 10-day extension from April 20. Bipartisan support—192 Republicans and 43 Democrats—overcame privacy reform amendments amid intelligence community pressure for uninterrupted warrantless surveillance of non-U.S. persons. Senate hurdles loom, including potential opposition to House-added provisions like a central bank digital currency ban, but tight timeline and historical bipartisan patterns on national security favor swift action or conference resolution, tempering risks of lapse.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$45,016 Vol.
$45,016 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$45,016 Vol.
$45,016 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House's 235-191 passage yesterday of a three-year reauthorization of FISA Section 702 without warrant requirements has driven trader consensus to 68.5% for renewal before the April 30 expiration, following a prior 10-day extension from April 20. Bipartisan support—192 Republicans and 43 Democrats—overcame privacy reform amendments amid intelligence community pressure for uninterrupted warrantless surveillance of non-U.S. persons. Senate hurdles loom, including potential opposition to House-added provisions like a central bank digital currency ban, but tight timeline and historical bipartisan patterns on national security favor swift action or conference resolution, tempering risks of lapse.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Volume
$45,016End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House's 235-191 passage yesterday of a three-year reauthorization of FISA Section 702 without warrant requirements has driven trader consensus to 68.5% for renewal before the April 30 expiration, following a prior 10-day extension from April 20. Bipartisan support—192 Republicans and 43 Democrats—overcame privacy reform amendments amid intelligence community pressure for uninterrupted warrantless surveillance of non-U.S. persons. Senate hurdles loom, including potential opposition to House-added provisions like a central bank digital currency ban, but tight timeline and historical bipartisan patterns on national security favor swift action or conference resolution, tempering risks of lapse.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45,016End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The House's 235-191 passage yesterday of a three-year reauthorization of FISA Section 702 without warrant requirements has driven trader consensus to 68.5% for renewal before the April 30 expiration, following a prior 10-day extension from April 20. Bipartisan support—192 Republicans and 43 Democrats—overcame privacy reform amendments amid intelligence community pressure for uninterrupted warrantless surveillance of non-U.S. persons. Senate hurdles loom, including potential opposition to House-added provisions like a central bank digital currency ban, but tight timeline and historical bipartisan patterns on national security favor swift action or conference resolution, tempering risks of lapse.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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