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Politics·Trump

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?

icon for How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?
Politics·Trump

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

6 56.5%

5 19%

4 8%

3 3.0%

Polymarket

$24,339 Vol.

6 56.5%

5 19%

4 8%

3 3.0%

Polymarket

$24,339 Vol.

0

$3,456 Vol.

<1%

1

$972 Vol.

2%

2

$1,070 Vol.

<1%

3

$988 Vol.

3%

4

$8,521 Vol.

8%

5

$1,935 Vol.

19%

6

$1,100 Vol.

56%

7+

$6,298 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors six pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in April at 53%, reflecting four already enacted—S.3971 (Small Business Innovation and Economic Security Act) and S.1884 (Holocaust Expropriated Art Recovery Act of 2025) on April 13, H.R.8322 extending FISA surveillance authorities on April 18, and H.J.Res.140 disapproving a Bureau of Land Management rule on April 27—amid Republican congressional majorities prioritizing congressional review resolutions and targeted extensions. With April 30 marking the resolution deadline and no bills currently awaiting signature, traders price a 20% chance of five total on expectations of late-month minor bills via unanimous consent, while historical midterm April patterns of 14-16 signings inform upside potential despite the month's relatively low volume to date.

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.

Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,339
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 4:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors six pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in April at 53%, reflecting four already enacted—S.3971 (Small Business Innovation and Economic Security Act) and S.1884 (Holocaust Expropriated Art Recovery Act of 2025) on April 13, H.R.8322 extending FISA surveillance authorities on April 18, and H.J.Res.140 disapproving a Bureau of Land Management rule on April 27—amid Republican congressional majorities prioritizing congressional review resolutions and targeted extensions. With April 30 marking the resolution deadline and no bills currently awaiting signature, traders price a 20% chance of five total on expectations of late-month minor bills via unanimous consent, while historical midterm April patterns of 14-16 signings inform upside potential despite the month's relatively low volume to date.

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.

Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,339
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 4:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "6" at 56%, followed by "5" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?" has generated $24.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?" is "6" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.