The SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, passed the House narrowly 218-213 in February but has stalled in the Senate, driving trader consensus to a 99.7% implied probability of no passage. Democratic opposition triggered a filibuster, with recent procedural bids failing, including a 48-50 amendment defeat last week to attach it to reconciliation legislation and halted debate on April 21 amid insufficient cloture votes. Even with Republican majorities, GOP holdouts and reluctance to alter Senate rules have blocked floor votes. Realistic shifts would require rule changes, a must-pass bill attachment like debt ceiling talks, or unexpected bipartisan support—scenarios traders deem highly improbable before session end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
$49,563 Vol.
$49,563 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$49,563 Vol.
$49,563 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, passed the House narrowly 218-213 in February but has stalled in the Senate, driving trader consensus to a 99.7% implied probability of no passage. Democratic opposition triggered a filibuster, with recent procedural bids failing, including a 48-50 amendment defeat last week to attach it to reconciliation legislation and halted debate on April 21 amid insufficient cloture votes. Even with Republican majorities, GOP holdouts and reluctance to alter Senate rules have blocked floor votes. Realistic shifts would require rule changes, a must-pass bill attachment like debt ceiling talks, or unexpected bipartisan support—scenarios traders deem highly improbable before session end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Volume
$49,563End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, passed the House narrowly 218-213 in February but has stalled in the Senate, driving trader consensus to a 99.7% implied probability of no passage. Democratic opposition triggered a filibuster, with recent procedural bids failing, including a 48-50 amendment defeat last week to attach it to reconciliation legislation and halted debate on April 21 amid insufficient cloture votes. Even with Republican majorities, GOP holdouts and reluctance to alter Senate rules have blocked floor votes. Realistic shifts would require rule changes, a must-pass bill attachment like debt ceiling talks, or unexpected bipartisan support—scenarios traders deem highly improbable before session end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$49,563End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, passed the House narrowly 218-213 in February but has stalled in the Senate, driving trader consensus to a 99.7% implied probability of no passage. Democratic opposition triggered a filibuster, with recent procedural bids failing, including a 48-50 amendment defeat last week to attach it to reconciliation legislation and halted debate on April 21 amid insufficient cloture votes. Even with Republican majorities, GOP holdouts and reluctance to alter Senate rules have blocked floor votes. Realistic shifts would require rule changes, a must-pass bill attachment like debt ceiling talks, or unexpected bipartisan support—scenarios traders deem highly improbable before session end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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