Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?

Name: Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?
Start: 2026-05-14T23:50:29.480Z
End: 2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z

NEW

Nov 3, 2026

Fiona Ma

$171 Vol.

83%

David Fennell

$80 Vol.

56%

Josh Fryday

$0 Vol.

46%

Janelle Kellman

$5 Vol.

13%

Oliver Ma

$29 Vol.

12%

Rakesh Christian

$142 Vol.

Ebie Lynch

$82 Vol.

Jeyson Lopez

$88 Vol.

Sean Collinson

$109 Vol.

David Collenberg

$21 Vol.

37%

$728 Vol.

Fiona Ma

$171 Vol.

83%

David Fennell

$80 Vol.

56%

Josh Fryday

$0 Vol.

46%

Janelle Kellman

$5 Vol.

13%

Oliver Ma

$29 Vol.

12%

Rakesh Christian

$142 Vol.

Ebie Lynch

$82 Vol.

Jeyson Lopez

$88 Vol.

Sean Collinson

$109 Vol.

David Collenberg

$21 Vol.

37%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

72%

icon for Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?

Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?

73%

Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

68%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fiona Ma" at 83%, followed by "David Fennell" at 56%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?" is "Fiona Ma" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Fennell" at 56%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 83¢ for "Fiona Ma" in the "Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 83% chance that "Fiona Ma" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 83¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 17¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Nov 3, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?

Who will advance from the California Lieutenant Governor primary?

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Frequently Asked Questions

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