Skip to main content
icon for Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Elections·Main Election

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

icon for Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Elections·Main Election

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Željka Cvijanović 74%

Nebojša Vukanović 9%

Siniša Karan 8.8%

Draško Stanivuković 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Željka Cvijanović 74%

Nebojša Vukanović 9%

Siniša Karan 8.8%

Draško Stanivuković 9%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Željka Cvijanović

Željka Cvijanović

$200 Vol.

74%

icon for Nebojša Vukanović

Nebojša Vukanović

$60 Vol.

9%

icon for Siniša Karan

Siniša Karan

$100 Vol.

9%

icon for Draško Stanivuković

Draško Stanivuković

$80 Vol.

9%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$100 Vol.

4%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina confirmed general elections for October 4, 2026, just days ago, setting the timeline for selecting the next Serb member of the tripartite Presidency from Republika Srpska voters, which has kept trader consensus evenly split among top contenders amid an early-stage race. Incumbent Željka Cvijanović of the dominant SNSD benefits from party continuity following ally Siniša Karan's narrow February victory as RS President, yet faces competition from opposition figures like Branko Blanuša of SDS—a recent RS runner-up—and Banja Luka Mayor Draško Stanivuković, alongside Nebojša Vukanović. Absent party nominations or polls, the field remains fluid; forthcoming primary decisions, Dodik endorsements, or campaign momentum could tip probabilities in this closely contested contest.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$540
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina confirmed general elections for October 4, 2026, just days ago, setting the timeline for selecting the next Serb member of the tripartite Presidency from Republika Srpska voters, which has kept trader consensus evenly split among top contenders amid an early-stage race. Incumbent Željka Cvijanović of the dominant SNSD benefits from party continuity following ally Siniša Karan's narrow February victory as RS President, yet faces competition from opposition figures like Branko Blanuša of SDS—a recent RS runner-up—and Banja Luka Mayor Draško Stanivuković, alongside Nebojša Vukanović. Absent party nominations or polls, the field remains fluid; forthcoming primary decisions, Dodik endorsements, or campaign momentum could tip probabilities in this closely contested contest.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$540
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Željka Cvijanović" at 74%, followed by "Nebojša Vukanović" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" is "Željka Cvijanović" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nebojša Vukanović" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.