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icon for KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Democratic Primary

KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Democratic Primary

KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Zach Dembo 76%

Cherlynn Stevenson 21%

Erin Petrey 2.1%

David Kloiber 1.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Zach Dembo 76%

Cherlynn Stevenson 21%

Erin Petrey 2.1%

David Kloiber 1.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Zach Dembo

$2,083 Vol.

76%

Cherlynn Stevenson

$1,101 Vol.

22%

Erin Petrey

$477 Vol.

2%

David Kloiber

$354 Vol.

2%

Harvey Carroll

$311 Vol.

1%

Corey Edwards

$488 Vol.

1%

Jimmy Ausbrooks

$332 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Zach Dembo holds a commanding lead in the May 19 Democratic primary for Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District, backed by a significant fundraising advantage and high-profile endorsements from former U.S. Rep. Ben Chandler and the Lexington Herald-Leader editorial board. These factors have solidified trader consensus around his path to the nomination in a district Democrats have not held since 2012. Cherlynn Stevenson remains the clearest alternative, drawing support from Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman and former Gov. Paul Patton while emphasizing her record as a state representative and appeal to rural voters. The remaining candidates trail with minimal market share, reflecting limited name recognition and fewer institutional backers as the primary approaches.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,147
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Zach Dembo holds a commanding lead in the May 19 Democratic primary for Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District, backed by a significant fundraising advantage and high-profile endorsements from former U.S. Rep. Ben Chandler and the Lexington Herald-Leader editorial board. These factors have solidified trader consensus around his path to the nomination in a district Democrats have not held since 2012. Cherlynn Stevenson remains the clearest alternative, drawing support from Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman and former Gov. Paul Patton while emphasizing her record as a state representative and appeal to rural voters. The remaining candidates trail with minimal market share, reflecting limited name recognition and fewer institutional backers as the primary approaches.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,147
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zach Dembo" at 76%, followed by "Cherlynn Stevenson" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Zach Dembo" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cherlynn Stevenson" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.