Skip to main content
icon for President of Andalusia after election?
Elections·Spain

President of Andalusia after election?

icon for President of Andalusia after election?
Elections·Spain

President of Andalusia after election?

Juanma Moreno 97.2%

Antonio Maíllo 1.4%

María Jesús Montero 1.0%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Juanma Moreno 97.2%

Antonio Maíllo 1.4%

María Jesús Montero 1.0%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Juanma Moreno

Juanma Moreno

$5,455 Vol.

97%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$1,421 Vol.

1%

icon for Manuel Gavira

Manuel Gavira

$1,053 Vol.

1%

icon for Antonio Maíllo

Antonio Maíllo

$1,008 Vol.

1%

icon for José Ignacio García

José Ignacio García

$917 Vol.

<1%

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Juanma Moreno of the Popular Party commands overwhelming trader consensus for re-election as President of Andalusia following the May 17 regional parliamentary elections, fueled by consistent late-April polls projecting his party at 43-44% with 55-58 seats—enough for an absolute majority in the 109-seat chamber. This builds on his 2022 victory and snap election call in late March to capitalize on momentum amid PSOE weakness under María Jesús Montero, with recent surveys showing voter shifts from Vox bolstering PP totals. While structural incumbency and positive management ratings anchor his position, unlikely shifts could arise from a late scandal, opposition turnout surge, or Vox rebound fracturing right-wing support and forcing coalition talks.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,854
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Juanma Moreno of the Popular Party commands overwhelming trader consensus for re-election as President of Andalusia following the May 17 regional parliamentary elections, fueled by consistent late-April polls projecting his party at 43-44% with 55-58 seats—enough for an absolute majority in the 109-seat chamber. This builds on his 2022 victory and snap election call in late March to capitalize on momentum amid PSOE weakness under María Jesús Montero, with recent surveys showing voter shifts from Vox bolstering PP totals. While structural incumbency and positive management ratings anchor his position, unlikely shifts could arise from a late scandal, opposition turnout surge, or Vox rebound fracturing right-wing support and forcing coalition talks.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,854
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?

Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?

100%
icon for Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 30-32 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?

Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 30-32 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?

35%
icon for Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?

Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?

34%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"President of Andalusia after election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Juanma Moreno" at 97%, followed by "María Jesús Montero" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"President of Andalusia after election?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "President of Andalusia after election?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "President of Andalusia after election?" is "Juanma Moreno" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "María Jesús Montero" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "President of Andalusia after election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.