Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including the 2025-2026 conflict with Israeli and American strikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites, have kept diplomatic normalization off the table. A fragile ceasefire extended into mid-2026 amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions, and nuclear issues, but no steps toward restoring full relations have emerged. Switzerland continues serving as protecting power with limited facilitation efforts, while the United States maintains only a virtual embassy. Recent reports of additional US strikes and stalled high-level talks reinforce trader consensus that embassy reopening remains unlikely before year-end, consistent with decades of severed ties since 1979.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Reabrirá Estados Unidos su embajada en Irán en 2026?
¿Reabrirá Estados Unidos su embajada en Irán en 2026?
Sí
$147,676 Vol.
$147,676 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$147,676 Vol.
$147,676 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including the 2025-2026 conflict with Israeli and American strikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites, have kept diplomatic normalization off the table. A fragile ceasefire extended into mid-2026 amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions, and nuclear issues, but no steps toward restoring full relations have emerged. Switzerland continues serving as protecting power with limited facilitation efforts, while the United States maintains only a virtual embassy. Recent reports of additional US strikes and stalled high-level talks reinforce trader consensus that embassy reopening remains unlikely before year-end, consistent with decades of severed ties since 1979.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volumen
$147,676Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including the 2025-2026 conflict with Israeli and American strikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites, have kept diplomatic normalization off the table. A fragile ceasefire extended into mid-2026 amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions, and nuclear issues, but no steps toward restoring full relations have emerged. Switzerland continues serving as protecting power with limited facilitation efforts, while the United States maintains only a virtual embassy. Recent reports of additional US strikes and stalled high-level talks reinforce trader consensus that embassy reopening remains unlikely before year-end, consistent with decades of severed ties since 1979.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$147,676Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including the 2025-2026 conflict with Israeli and American strikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites, have kept diplomatic normalization off the table. A fragile ceasefire extended into mid-2026 amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions, and nuclear issues, but no steps toward restoring full relations have emerged. Switzerland continues serving as protecting power with limited facilitation efforts, while the United States maintains only a virtual embassy. Recent reports of additional US strikes and stalled high-level talks reinforce trader consensus that embassy reopening remains unlikely before year-end, consistent with decades of severed ties since 1979.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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