Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that President Masoud Pezeshkian's four-year term, starting after his 2024 inauguration, will continue uninterrupted through 2028, with no snap presidential election triggered by June 30 amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war. Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February US-Israel airstrikes prompted an interim council including Pezeshkian, followed by the Assembly of Experts appointing his son Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader on March 8; Pezeshkian weathered March resignation pressures post further strikes killing security chief Ali Larijani, remaining active as recently as early April while reportedly aiding the injured new leader's treatment. Constitutional rules mandate elections within 50 days only on presidential death, resignation, dismissal, or incapacity—absent which, odds stay firm. Shifts could arise from Pezeshkian's sudden vacancy or regime de-escalation allowing elections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Irán celebrará elecciones presidenciales antes del 30 de junio?
¿Irán celebrará elecciones presidenciales antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$208,381 Vol.
$208,381 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$208,381 Vol.
$208,381 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that President Masoud Pezeshkian's four-year term, starting after his 2024 inauguration, will continue uninterrupted through 2028, with no snap presidential election triggered by June 30 amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war. Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February US-Israel airstrikes prompted an interim council including Pezeshkian, followed by the Assembly of Experts appointing his son Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader on March 8; Pezeshkian weathered March resignation pressures post further strikes killing security chief Ali Larijani, remaining active as recently as early April while reportedly aiding the injured new leader's treatment. Constitutional rules mandate elections within 50 days only on presidential death, resignation, dismissal, or incapacity—absent which, odds stay firm. Shifts could arise from Pezeshkian's sudden vacancy or regime de-escalation allowing elections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Volumen
$208,381Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that President Masoud Pezeshkian's four-year term, starting after his 2024 inauguration, will continue uninterrupted through 2028, with no snap presidential election triggered by June 30 amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war. Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February US-Israel airstrikes prompted an interim council including Pezeshkian, followed by the Assembly of Experts appointing his son Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader on March 8; Pezeshkian weathered March resignation pressures post further strikes killing security chief Ali Larijani, remaining active as recently as early April while reportedly aiding the injured new leader's treatment. Constitutional rules mandate elections within 50 days only on presidential death, resignation, dismissal, or incapacity—absent which, odds stay firm. Shifts could arise from Pezeshkian's sudden vacancy or regime de-escalation allowing elections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$210,388Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that President Masoud Pezeshkian's four-year term, starting after his 2024 inauguration, will continue uninterrupted through 2028, with no snap presidential election triggered by June 30 amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war. Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February US-Israel airstrikes prompted an interim council including Pezeshkian, followed by the Assembly of Experts appointing his son Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader on March 8; Pezeshkian weathered March resignation pressures post further strikes killing security chief Ali Larijani, remaining active as recently as early April while reportedly aiding the injured new leader's treatment. Constitutional rules mandate elections within 50 days only on presidential death, resignation, dismissal, or incapacity—absent which, odds stay firm. Shifts could arise from Pezeshkian's sudden vacancy or regime de-escalation allowing elections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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