Iran's most recent presidential election occurred in 2024 following the death of Ebrahim Raisi, installing Masoud Pezeshkian for a standard four-year term that concludes in 2028. No constitutional trigger—such as the incumbent's death, resignation, or incapacity—has occurred to accelerate the timetable, and the Guardian Council has not signaled any extraordinary process. The March 2026 Assembly of Experts selection of a new supreme leader addressed succession at the highest institutional level without altering presidential election rules or timelines. With roughly two weeks remaining before the June 30 cutoff, organizing and holding a nationwide vote remains logistically implausible absent an immediate crisis. Traders assign 99% probability to "No" based on this predictable schedule and absence of catalysts, though an unforeseen health event or major political rupture could theoretically force an early contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Irán celebrará elecciones presidenciales antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$718,216 Vol.
$718,216 Vol.
Sí
$718,216 Vol.
$718,216 Vol.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's most recent presidential election occurred in 2024 following the death of Ebrahim Raisi, installing Masoud Pezeshkian for a standard four-year term that concludes in 2028. No constitutional trigger—such as the incumbent's death, resignation, or incapacity—has occurred to accelerate the timetable, and the Guardian Council has not signaled any extraordinary process. The March 2026 Assembly of Experts selection of a new supreme leader addressed succession at the highest institutional level without altering presidential election rules or timelines. With roughly two weeks remaining before the June 30 cutoff, organizing and holding a nationwide vote remains logistically implausible absent an immediate crisis. Traders assign 99% probability to "No" based on this predictable schedule and absence of catalysts, though an unforeseen health event or major political rupture could theoretically force an early contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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