United Russia leads trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, driven by its historical sweep of over 200 single-member districts via administrative resources, despite recent polls showing support declining to 27-37% amid rising prices and economic discontent. New People at 30.9% reflects their rapid rise to 12-17% in April VCIOM surveys—their all-time high—positioning them as a fresh alternative amid opposition weakness. Other parties trail as FOM polls place LDPR and KPRF around 8-11%. United Russia extended primaries registration on April 29, signaling mobilization ahead of the 225 proportional and 225 district seats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
Rusia Unida (ER) 63%
Nuevas Personas (NL) 30.9%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 5.1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) 1.0%
$6,683,905 Vol.
$6,683,905 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
63%
Nuevas Personas (NL)
31%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)
5%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
1%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
Rusia Unida (ER) 63%
Nuevas Personas (NL) 30.9%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 5.1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) 1.0%
$6,683,905 Vol.
$6,683,905 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
$1,846,762 Vol.
63%
Nuevas Personas (NL)
$623,495 Vol.
31%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)
$2,200,232 Vol.
5%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
$495,929 Vol.
1%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
$454,435 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$624,026 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$442,403 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia leads trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, driven by its historical sweep of over 200 single-member districts via administrative resources, despite recent polls showing support declining to 27-37% amid rising prices and economic discontent. New People at 30.9% reflects their rapid rise to 12-17% in April VCIOM surveys—their all-time high—positioning them as a fresh alternative amid opposition weakness. Other parties trail as FOM polls place LDPR and KPRF around 8-11%. United Russia extended primaries registration on April 29, signaling mobilization ahead of the 225 proportional and 225 district seats.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volumen
$6,683,905Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia leads trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, driven by its historical sweep of over 200 single-member districts via administrative resources, despite recent polls showing support declining to 27-37% amid rising prices and economic discontent. New People at 30.9% reflects their rapid rise to 12-17% in April VCIOM surveys—their all-time high—positioning them as a fresh alternative amid opposition weakness. Other parties trail as FOM polls place LDPR and KPRF around 8-11%. United Russia extended primaries registration on April 29, signaling mobilization ahead of the 225 proportional and 225 district seats.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$6,683,905Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia leads trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, driven by its historical sweep of over 200 single-member districts via administrative resources, despite recent polls showing support declining to 27-37% amid rising prices and economic discontent. New People at 30.9% reflects their rapid rise to 12-17% in April VCIOM surveys—their all-time high—positioning them as a fresh alternative amid opposition weakness. Other parties trail as FOM polls place LDPR and KPRF around 8-11%. United Russia extended primaries registration on April 29, signaling mobilization ahead of the 225 proportional and 225 district seats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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