Trader consensus prices United Russia at 63.5% to win the most seats in Russia's September 20, 2026, State Duma election, reflecting its poll leads on proportional party lists (35-52% in April FOM and WCIOM surveys) and historical sweep of single-mandate districts, where it captured nearly 90% in 2021. New People's 29.9% share captures its recent surge to 8-17% in polls, amid United Russia's reported rating declines tied to economic pressures like rising prices. Over the past week, United Russia extended primaries registration to May 14 and mobilized public-sector workers for May 25-31 voting, signaling Kremlin efforts to boost turnout and counter challenger gains from LDPR and KPRF before the proportional threshold and district contests.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
Rusia Unida (ER) 64%
Nuevas Personas (NL) 29.9%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 5.1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) 1.0%
$7,036,269 Vol.
$7,036,269 Vol.

Rusia Unida (ER)
64%

Nuevas Personas (NL)
30%

Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)
5%

Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
1%

Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
1%

Rodina
<1%

Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
Rusia Unida (ER) 64%
Nuevas Personas (NL) 29.9%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 5.1%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) 1.0%
$7,036,269 Vol.
$7,036,269 Vol.

Rusia Unida (ER)
64%

Nuevas Personas (NL)
30%

Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)
5%

Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
1%

Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
1%

Rodina
<1%

Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices United Russia at 63.5% to win the most seats in Russia's September 20, 2026, State Duma election, reflecting its poll leads on proportional party lists (35-52% in April FOM and WCIOM surveys) and historical sweep of single-mandate districts, where it captured nearly 90% in 2021. New People's 29.9% share captures its recent surge to 8-17% in polls, amid United Russia's reported rating declines tied to economic pressures like rising prices. Over the past week, United Russia extended primaries registration to May 14 and mobilized public-sector workers for May 25-31 voting, signaling Kremlin efforts to boost turnout and counter challenger gains from LDPR and KPRF before the proportional threshold and district contests.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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