Skip to main content
icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?
Geopolítica·Israel

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?
Geopolítica·Israel

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?

jun 30

dic 31

jun 30

dic 31

$435,432 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$435,432 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Corea del Norte

Corea del Norte

$37,306 Vol.

1%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$51,031 Vol.

1%

icon for Arabia Saudita

Arabia Saudita

$48,794 Vol.

1%

icon for Líbano

Líbano

$70,478 Vol.

2%

icon for Afganistán

Afganistán

$18,677 Vol.

1%

icon for Irak

Irak

$35,214 Vol.

1%

icon for Pakistán

Pakistán

$8,791 Vol.

1%

icon for Siria

Siria

$14,144 Vol.

1%

icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$87,901 Vol.

<1%

icon for Túnez

Túnez

$2,677 Vol.

2%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$2,011 Vol.

2%

icon for Catar

Catar

$7,192 Vol.

1%

icon for Indonesia

Indonesia

$19,489 Vol.

1%

icon for Malasia

Malasia

$26,404 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bangladés

Bangladés

$5,324 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains constrained by longstanding positions among non-recognizing states, primarily Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members. As of early 2026, 163 UN members formally recognize Israel. Recent U.S. pressure in May 2026 for expanded Abraham Accords participation, including Saudi Arabia and Qatar, has linked any moves to progress on a Palestinian state or Iran-related deals, conditions that have not produced new announcements. Potential candidates such as Lebanon, Syria, or Tunisia face domestic political hurdles and regional tensions that make near-term action unlikely before June 30. Trader pricing reflects this timeline pressure, with leading outcomes below 5% probability amid the absence of confirmed breakthroughs in the resolution window.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$435,432
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains constrained by longstanding positions among non-recognizing states, primarily Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members. As of early 2026, 163 UN members formally recognize Israel. Recent U.S. pressure in May 2026 for expanded Abraham Accords participation, including Saudi Arabia and Qatar, has linked any moves to progress on a Palestinian state or Iran-related deals, conditions that have not produced new announcements. Potential candidates such as Lebanon, Syria, or Tunisia face domestic political hurdles and regional tensions that make near-term action unlikely before June 30. Trader pricing reflects this timeline pressure, with leading outcomes below 5% probability amid the absence of confirmed breakthroughs in the resolution window.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$435,432
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Líbano" con 2%, seguido de "Túnez" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 2¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 2% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $435.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 20, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" es "Líbano" con solo 2%, con "Túnez" muy cerca con 2%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.