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Geopolítica·Israel

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?
Geopolítica·Israel

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?

$245,544 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$245,544 Vol.

Polymarket
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Corea del Norte

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3%

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Cuba

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3%

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Arabia Saudita

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7%

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6%

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Afganistán

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1%

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5%

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Pakistán

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2%

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Siria

$12,114 Vol.

9%

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Venezuela

$85,278 Vol.

9%

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Túnez

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6%

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Kuwait

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8%

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Indonesia

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6%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects low expectations for new diplomatic recognitions of Israel by June 30, 2026, amid stalled normalization efforts following the Abraham Accords expansions. No countries have formally established relations in the past 30 days, with recent developments limited to deepening ties with existing partners like Kazakhstan during President Herzog's April 29 visit to Astana and indirect Israel-Lebanon ceasefire talks in April that stopped short of acknowledgment. Holdouts including Syria, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Algeria, and Venezuela face ideological, regional conflict, and Palestinian statehood preconditions as barriers. Upcoming summits or post-conflict shifts in Syria or Gulf states could catalyze movement, but historical patterns favor incremental progress over rapid breakthroughs.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$245,544
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects low expectations for new diplomatic recognitions of Israel by June 30, 2026, amid stalled normalization efforts following the Abraham Accords expansions. No countries have formally established relations in the past 30 days, with recent developments limited to deepening ties with existing partners like Kazakhstan during President Herzog's April 29 visit to Astana and indirect Israel-Lebanon ceasefire talks in April that stopped short of acknowledgment. Holdouts including Syria, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Algeria, and Venezuela face ideological, regional conflict, and Palestinian statehood preconditions as barriers. Upcoming summits or post-conflict shifts in Syria or Gulf states could catalyze movement, but historical patterns favor incremental progress over rapid breakthroughs.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$245,544
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Siria" con 9%, seguido de "Venezuela" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 9¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 9% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $245.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 20, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" es "Siria" con solo 9%, con "Venezuela" muy cerca con 9%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.