Recent U.S.-facilitated trilateral talks produced a ceasefire extension between Israel and Lebanon, along with commitments to limit Hezbollah activity in southern areas, reducing immediate threats to the Beirut embassy compound and allowing core diplomatic operations to continue. Earlier drawdowns of non-essential personnel addressed prior regional tensions tied to Iran developments, yet no official announcement or confirmation of a full embassy evacuation has occurred amid ongoing stabilization efforts. Security alerts through early June highlight persistent but contained volatility, while scheduled follow-up negotiations later this month reinforce trader consensus that a complete withdrawal remains unnecessary before the June 30 deadline. A sudden breakdown in the ceasefire or major security incident could still alter assessments in the brief remaining window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
$82,699 Vol.
$82,699 Vol.
30 jun 2026
$82,699 Vol.
$82,699 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent U.S.-facilitated trilateral talks produced a ceasefire extension between Israel and Lebanon, along with commitments to limit Hezbollah activity in southern areas, reducing immediate threats to the Beirut embassy compound and allowing core diplomatic operations to continue. Earlier drawdowns of non-essential personnel addressed prior regional tensions tied to Iran developments, yet no official announcement or confirmation of a full embassy evacuation has occurred amid ongoing stabilization efforts. Security alerts through early June highlight persistent but contained volatility, while scheduled follow-up negotiations later this month reinforce trader consensus that a complete withdrawal remains unnecessary before the June 30 deadline. A sudden breakdown in the ceasefire or major security incident could still alter assessments in the brief remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Volumen
$82,699Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent U.S.-facilitated trilateral talks produced a ceasefire extension between Israel and Lebanon, along with commitments to limit Hezbollah activity in southern areas, reducing immediate threats to the Beirut embassy compound and allowing core diplomatic operations to continue. Earlier drawdowns of non-essential personnel addressed prior regional tensions tied to Iran developments, yet no official announcement or confirmation of a full embassy evacuation has occurred amid ongoing stabilization efforts. Security alerts through early June highlight persistent but contained volatility, while scheduled follow-up negotiations later this month reinforce trader consensus that a complete withdrawal remains unnecessary before the June 30 deadline. A sudden breakdown in the ceasefire or major security incident could still alter assessments in the brief remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volumen
$82,723Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-facilitated trilateral talks produced a ceasefire extension between Israel and Lebanon, along with commitments to limit Hezbollah activity in southern areas, reducing immediate threats to the Beirut embassy compound and allowing core diplomatic operations to continue. Earlier drawdowns of non-essential personnel addressed prior regional tensions tied to Iran developments, yet no official announcement or confirmation of a full embassy evacuation has occurred amid ongoing stabilization efforts. Security alerts through early June highlight persistent but contained volatility, while scheduled follow-up negotiations later this month reinforce trader consensus that a complete withdrawal remains unnecessary before the June 30 deadline. A sudden breakdown in the ceasefire or major security incident could still alter assessments in the brief remaining window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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