Somaliland's House of Elders (Guurti) approved a 27-month extension of House of Representatives and local council terms on April 28, 2026, postponing parliamentary elections originally set for May to October 2028, propelling trader consensus on "No election before 2027" to 89.5% amid cited security instability in Sool and Sanaag regions, drought-induced voter access issues, and fiscal constraints that overrode the National Electoral Commission's feasibility assessment. President Abdirahman Cirro, whose Waddani party won the 2024 presidential election, had sought only a 10-month delay, fueling criticism over democratic erosion and testing his anti-extension platform. Waddani leads conditional winner odds at 24.3%, signaling momentum against Kulmiye (4.8%) and UCID (5.2%).
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Somalilandia
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Somalilandia
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027 92%
Waddani 34.8%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID) 5.2%
Kulmiye 4.8%
$17,427 Vol.
$17,427 Vol.
31 mar 2026
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027
92%
Waddani
35%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID)
5%
Kulmiye
5%
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027 92%
Waddani 34.8%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID) 5.2%
Kulmiye 4.8%
$17,427 Vol.
$17,427 Vol.
31 mar 2026
No habrá elecciones antes de 2027
$9,349 Vol.
92%
Waddani
$1,932 Vol.
35%
Justicia y Bienestar (UCID)
$3,839 Vol.
5%
Kulmiye
$2,306 Vol.
5%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's House of Elders (Guurti) approved a 27-month extension of House of Representatives and local council terms on April 28, 2026, postponing parliamentary elections originally set for May to October 2028, propelling trader consensus on "No election before 2027" to 89.5% amid cited security instability in Sool and Sanaag regions, drought-induced voter access issues, and fiscal constraints that overrode the National Electoral Commission's feasibility assessment. President Abdirahman Cirro, whose Waddani party won the 2024 presidential election, had sought only a 10-month delay, fueling criticism over democratic erosion and testing his anti-extension platform. Waddani leads conditional winner odds at 24.3%, signaling momentum against Kulmiye (4.8%) and UCID (5.2%).
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Volumen
$17,427Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's House of Elders (Guurti) approved a 27-month extension of House of Representatives and local council terms on April 28, 2026, postponing parliamentary elections originally set for May to October 2028, propelling trader consensus on "No election before 2027" to 89.5% amid cited security instability in Sool and Sanaag regions, drought-induced voter access issues, and fiscal constraints that overrode the National Electoral Commission's feasibility assessment. President Abdirahman Cirro, whose Waddani party won the 2024 presidential election, had sought only a 10-month delay, fueling criticism over democratic erosion and testing his anti-extension platform. Waddani leads conditional winner odds at 24.3%, signaling momentum against Kulmiye (4.8%) and UCID (5.2%).
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Volumen
$17,427Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland's House of Elders (Guurti) approved a 27-month extension of House of Representatives and local council terms on April 28, 2026, postponing parliamentary elections originally set for May to October 2028, propelling trader consensus on "No election before 2027" to 89.5% amid cited security instability in Sool and Sanaag regions, drought-induced voter access issues, and fiscal constraints that overrode the National Electoral Commission's feasibility assessment. President Abdirahman Cirro, whose Waddani party won the 2024 presidential election, had sought only a 10-month delay, fueling criticism over democratic erosion and testing his anti-extension platform. Waddani leads conditional winner odds at 24.3%, signaling momentum against Kulmiye (4.8%) and UCID (5.2%).
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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