Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 56% to secure the most seats in Quebec's 2026 general election, reflecting seat projections like 338Canada's forecast of PQ winning 64 seats despite the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) leading popular vote averages 35%-28%. This stems from PQ's efficient vote distribution in the 125 single-member districts under first-past-the-post rules, amplified by four consecutive by-election victories, including Chicoutimi in February. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 12% post its April leadership shift to Premier Christine Fréchette replacing François Legault, enabling PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon's path to plurality or majority by the October 5 deadline, though National Assembly debates could alter dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones generales de Quebec
Ganador de las elecciones generales de Quebec
PQ 56%
PLQ 36%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$457,323 Vol.
$457,323 Vol.
5 oct 2026
PQ
56%
PLQ
36%
CAQ
9%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 56%
PLQ 36%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$457,323 Vol.
$457,323 Vol.
5 oct 2026
PQ
$48,819 Vol.
56%
PLQ
$53,184 Vol.
36%
CAQ
$50,442 Vol.
9%
PCQ
$148,480 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$107,468 Vol.
<1%
QS
$48,930 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 56% to secure the most seats in Quebec's 2026 general election, reflecting seat projections like 338Canada's forecast of PQ winning 64 seats despite the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) leading popular vote averages 35%-28%. This stems from PQ's efficient vote distribution in the 125 single-member districts under first-past-the-post rules, amplified by four consecutive by-election victories, including Chicoutimi in February. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 12% post its April leadership shift to Premier Christine Fréchette replacing François Legault, enabling PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon's path to plurality or majority by the October 5 deadline, though National Assembly debates could alter dynamics.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado abierto: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volumen
$457,323Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 56% to secure the most seats in Quebec's 2026 general election, reflecting seat projections like 338Canada's forecast of PQ winning 64 seats despite the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) leading popular vote averages 35%-28%. This stems from PQ's efficient vote distribution in the 125 single-member districts under first-past-the-post rules, amplified by four consecutive by-election victories, including Chicoutimi in February. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 12% post its April leadership shift to Premier Christine Fréchette replacing François Legault, enabling PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon's path to plurality or majority by the October 5 deadline, though National Assembly debates could alter dynamics.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$457,323Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 56% to secure the most seats in Quebec's 2026 general election, reflecting seat projections like 338Canada's forecast of PQ winning 64 seats despite the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) leading popular vote averages 35%-28%. This stems from PQ's efficient vote distribution in the 125 single-member districts under first-past-the-post rules, amplified by four consecutive by-election victories, including Chicoutimi in February. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 12% post its April leadership shift to Premier Christine Fréchette replacing François Legault, enabling PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon's path to plurality or majority by the October 5 deadline, though National Assembly debates could alter dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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