Keiko Fujimori's 17.1% first-round lead over Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 12.0% in the April 12-13 Peruvian general election propelled both to the June 7 runoff, where trader consensus implies 65.5% odds for Fujimori despite late-April Ipsos polls showing statistical ties at 38-50%. Her edge stems from Fuerza Popular's organizational strength, name recognition from three prior runner-up finishes, and likely consolidation of right-wing votes from third-place Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), who alleged fraud amid logistical delays affecting Lima turnout. Sánchez's leftist Juntos por el Perú surged unexpectedly from pre-election single digits, but lacks Fujimori's national profile. Investigations dismissed irregularities, stabilizing the contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú
Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú
Keiko Fujimori 66%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 32.1%
Rafael López Aliaga 2.5%
Jorge Nieto <1%
$48,090,112 Vol.
$48,090,112 Vol.
7 jun 2026
Keiko Fujimori
66%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
32%
Rafael López Aliaga
2%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
José Luna
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 66%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 32.1%
Rafael López Aliaga 2.5%
Jorge Nieto <1%
$48,090,112 Vol.
$48,090,112 Vol.
7 jun 2026
Keiko Fujimori
$5,718,346 Vol.
66%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$11,981,184 Vol.
32%
Rafael López Aliaga
$10,744,863 Vol.
2%
Jorge Nieto
$5,303,627 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
$2,097,455 Vol.
<1%
César Acuña
$641,146 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
$251,152 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
$134,601 Vol.
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
$243,856 Vol.
<1%
Mesías Guevara
$322,157 Vol.
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
$203,926 Vol.
<1%
José Luna
$368,058 Vol.
<1%
José Williams
$140,934 Vol.
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
$159,443 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Olivera
$469,750 Vol.
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
$435,616 Vol.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
$1,991,477 Vol.
<1%
George Forsyth
$275,918 Vol.
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
$4,049,777 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Espá
$838,530 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
$220,082 Vol.
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$797,685 Vol.
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$700,674 Vol.
<1%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori's 17.1% first-round lead over Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 12.0% in the April 12-13 Peruvian general election propelled both to the June 7 runoff, where trader consensus implies 65.5% odds for Fujimori despite late-April Ipsos polls showing statistical ties at 38-50%. Her edge stems from Fuerza Popular's organizational strength, name recognition from three prior runner-up finishes, and likely consolidation of right-wing votes from third-place Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), who alleged fraud amid logistical delays affecting Lima turnout. Sánchez's leftist Juntos por el Perú surged unexpectedly from pre-election single digits, but lacks Fujimori's national profile. Investigations dismissed irregularities, stabilizing the contest.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Volumen
$48,090,112Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori's 17.1% first-round lead over Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 12.0% in the April 12-13 Peruvian general election propelled both to the June 7 runoff, where trader consensus implies 65.5% odds for Fujimori despite late-April Ipsos polls showing statistical ties at 38-50%. Her edge stems from Fuerza Popular's organizational strength, name recognition from three prior runner-up finishes, and likely consolidation of right-wing votes from third-place Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), who alleged fraud amid logistical delays affecting Lima turnout. Sánchez's leftist Juntos por el Perú surged unexpectedly from pre-election single digits, but lacks Fujimori's national profile. Investigations dismissed irregularities, stabilizing the contest.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$48,090,112Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keiko Fujimori's 17.1% first-round lead over Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 12.0% in the April 12-13 Peruvian general election propelled both to the June 7 runoff, where trader consensus implies 65.5% odds for Fujimori despite late-April Ipsos polls showing statistical ties at 38-50%. Her edge stems from Fuerza Popular's organizational strength, name recognition from three prior runner-up finishes, and likely consolidation of right-wing votes from third-place Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), who alleged fraud amid logistical delays affecting Lima turnout. Sánchez's leftist Juntos por el Perú surged unexpectedly from pre-election single digits, but lacks Fujimori's national profile. Investigations dismissed irregularities, stabilizing the contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes