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Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría

icon for Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría

Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría

Péter Magyar 99.4%

Viktor Orbán <1%

Klára Dobrev <1%

László Toroczkai <1%

Polymarket

$94,556,881 Vol.

Péter Magyar 99.4%

Viktor Orbán <1%

Klára Dobrev <1%

László Toroczkai <1%

Polymarket

$94,556,881 Vol.

icon for Péter Magyar

Péter Magyar

$23,359,046 Vol.

99%

icon for Viktor Orbán

Viktor Orbán

$25,240,646 Vol.

<1%

icon for Klára Dobrev

Klára Dobrev

$6,176,575 Vol.

<1%

icon for László Toroczkai

László Toroczkai

$13,859,133 Vol.

<1%

icon for István Kapitány

István Kapitány

$16,630,816 Vol.

<1%

icon for János Lázár

János Lázár

$9,290,667 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a landslide victory in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, winning a two-thirds majority in the National Assembly and prompting Viktor Orbán's concession after 16 years in power, driving trader consensus to 99.5% on his becoming next prime minister. Record turnout reflected widespread desire for change from Fidesz dominance, with final results certified shortly after, enabling swift government formation. Recent statements from the incoming leader, including plans for prime ministerial term limits and conditions on Ukraine's EU path tied to Hungarian minority rights, underscore the transition. While improbable, challenges could arise from unprecedented legal disputes over results, health issues, or coalition fractures despite the supermajority.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$94,556,881
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a landslide victory in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, winning a two-thirds majority in the National Assembly and prompting Viktor Orbán's concession after 16 years in power, driving trader consensus to 99.5% on his becoming next prime minister. Record turnout reflected widespread desire for change from Fidesz dominance, with final results certified shortly after, enabling swift government formation. Recent statements from the incoming leader, including plans for prime ministerial term limits and conditions on Ukraine's EU path tied to Hungarian minority rights, underscore the transition. While improbable, challenges could arise from unprecedented legal disputes over results, health issues, or coalition fractures despite the supermajority.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$94,556,881
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Péter Magyar" con 99%, seguido de "Viktor Orbán" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" ha generado $94.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 24, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" es "Péter Magyar" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Viktor Orbán" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.