Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a lowest temperature of 11°C (27.5% implied probability) at London City Airport on May 2, closely trailed by 12°C and 10°C, reflecting Met Office's latest forecast of an 11°C minimum around dawn amid light southwest winds and partial cloud cover. This mild setup stems from a high-pressure ridge following May 1's 25°C high, promoting radiative cooling overnight but limited by cloudy intervals that prevent sharper drops below 10°C. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show 1-2°C uncertainty from cloud variability and faint rain risks noted in BBC guidance, aligning with early May climatological norms of 8-12°C lows. Final Met Office hourly updates today could refine positioning ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 2 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 2 de mayo?
11°C 37%
10°C 15%
12°C 9%
13°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
5°C o menos
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
15%
11°C
37%
12°C
9%
13°C
7%
14°C
3%
15°C o más
5%
11°C 37%
10°C 15%
12°C 9%
13°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
5°C o menos
$198 Vol.
1%
6°C
$54 Vol.
1%
7°C
$199 Vol.
1%
8°C
$53 Vol.
1%
9°C
$57 Vol.
2%
10°C
$47 Vol.
15%
11°C
$108 Vol.
37%
12°C
$157 Vol.
9%
13°C
$177 Vol.
7%
14°C
$332 Vol.
3%
15°C o más
$265 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a lowest temperature of 11°C (27.5% implied probability) at London City Airport on May 2, closely trailed by 12°C and 10°C, reflecting Met Office's latest forecast of an 11°C minimum around dawn amid light southwest winds and partial cloud cover. This mild setup stems from a high-pressure ridge following May 1's 25°C high, promoting radiative cooling overnight but limited by cloudy intervals that prevent sharper drops below 10°C. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show 1-2°C uncertainty from cloud variability and faint rain risks noted in BBC guidance, aligning with early May climatological norms of 8-12°C lows. Final Met Office hourly updates today could refine positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$1,648Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a lowest temperature of 11°C (27.5% implied probability) at London City Airport on May 2, closely trailed by 12°C and 10°C, reflecting Met Office's latest forecast of an 11°C minimum around dawn amid light southwest winds and partial cloud cover. This mild setup stems from a high-pressure ridge following May 1's 25°C high, promoting radiative cooling overnight but limited by cloudy intervals that prevent sharper drops below 10°C. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show 1-2°C uncertainty from cloud variability and faint rain risks noted in BBC guidance, aligning with early May climatological norms of 8-12°C lows. Final Met Office hourly updates today could refine positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,648Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a lowest temperature of 11°C (27.5% implied probability) at London City Airport on May 2, closely trailed by 12°C and 10°C, reflecting Met Office's latest forecast of an 11°C minimum around dawn amid light southwest winds and partial cloud cover. This mild setup stems from a high-pressure ridge following May 1's 25°C high, promoting radiative cooling overnight but limited by cloudy intervals that prevent sharper drops below 10°C. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show 1-2°C uncertainty from cloud variability and faint rain risks noted in BBC guidance, aligning with early May climatological norms of 8-12°C lows. Final Met Office hourly updates today could refine positioning ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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