Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 25°C (46%) in Wuhan on May 1, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF models projecting a daytime peak near 25°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport under high-pressure ridging and partial cloud cover. This aligns with a warming trend from observed highs of 19°C on April 29 and 23–24°C on April 30, amid typical early May climatology where highs average 24–26°C amid rising humidity and lengthening daylight. Nearby 26°C (21%) and 24°C (19.5%) reflect model spread and potential for cloud-induced capping or slight diurnal variations, with real-time observations throughout the day poised to refine probabilities as the resolution window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
25°C 41%
26°C 21%
24°C 19%
27°C 7.3%
NUEVO
$21,707 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,707 Vol.
1 may 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
19%
25°C
40%
26°C
21%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 41%
26°C 21%
24°C 19%
27°C 7.3%
NUEVO
$21,707 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,707 Vol.
1 may 2026
20°C or below
$3,725 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,283 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,030 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,162 Vol.
3%
24°C
$1,498 Vol.
19%
25°C
$1,371 Vol.
40%
26°C
$1,297 Vol.
21%
27°C
$1,238 Vol.
7%
28°C
$2,370 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,874 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,086 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 25°C (46%) in Wuhan on May 1, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF models projecting a daytime peak near 25°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport under high-pressure ridging and partial cloud cover. This aligns with a warming trend from observed highs of 19°C on April 29 and 23–24°C on April 30, amid typical early May climatology where highs average 24–26°C amid rising humidity and lengthening daylight. Nearby 26°C (21%) and 24°C (19.5%) reflect model spread and potential for cloud-induced capping or slight diurnal variations, with real-time observations throughout the day poised to refine probabilities as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$21,707Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 25°C (46%) in Wuhan on May 1, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF models projecting a daytime peak near 25°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport under high-pressure ridging and partial cloud cover. This aligns with a warming trend from observed highs of 19°C on April 29 and 23–24°C on April 30, amid typical early May climatology where highs average 24–26°C amid rising humidity and lengthening daylight. Nearby 26°C (21%) and 24°C (19.5%) reflect model spread and potential for cloud-induced capping or slight diurnal variations, with real-time observations throughout the day poised to refine probabilities as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$21,707Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 25°C (46%) in Wuhan on May 1, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF models projecting a daytime peak near 25°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport under high-pressure ridging and partial cloud cover. This aligns with a warming trend from observed highs of 19°C on April 29 and 23–24°C on April 30, amid typical early May climatology where highs average 24–26°C amid rising humidity and lengthening daylight. Nearby 26°C (21%) and 24°C (19.5%) reflect model spread and potential for cloud-induced capping or slight diurnal variations, with real-time observations throughout the day poised to refine probabilities as the resolution window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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