Latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts, released April 30 evening, project a high near 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1 under overcast skies (阴), aligning with global model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks around 25-26°C. This trader consensus, with 46.5% implied probability for 25°C, reflects a warming trend from 19°C on April 29 to 23°C yesterday, tempered by persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating despite seasonal norms of 24-27°C highs in early May. Current morning readings near 14-16°C suggest steady daytime ascent, but model uncertainty persists on cloud breaks or southerly winds that could nudge outcomes to 24°C (25%) or 26°C (19.5%). Airport observations will refine probabilities through resolution at midnight UTC.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
25°C 48%
24°C 22%
26°C 21%
27°C 7.4%
NUEVO
$20,619 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,619 Vol.
1 may 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
22%
25°C
48%
26°C
21%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 48%
24°C 22%
26°C 21%
27°C 7.4%
NUEVO
$20,619 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,619 Vol.
1 may 2026
20°C or below
$3,725 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,265 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,948 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,009 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,471 Vol.
22%
25°C
$1,345 Vol.
48%
26°C
$1,231 Vol.
21%
27°C
$1,191 Vol.
7%
28°C
$2,202 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,654 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,676 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts, released April 30 evening, project a high near 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1 under overcast skies (阴), aligning with global model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks around 25-26°C. This trader consensus, with 46.5% implied probability for 25°C, reflects a warming trend from 19°C on April 29 to 23°C yesterday, tempered by persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating despite seasonal norms of 24-27°C highs in early May. Current morning readings near 14-16°C suggest steady daytime ascent, but model uncertainty persists on cloud breaks or southerly winds that could nudge outcomes to 24°C (25%) or 26°C (19.5%). Airport observations will refine probabilities through resolution at midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$20,619Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts, released April 30 evening, project a high near 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1 under overcast skies (阴), aligning with global model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks around 25-26°C. This trader consensus, with 46.5% implied probability for 25°C, reflects a warming trend from 19°C on April 29 to 23°C yesterday, tempered by persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating despite seasonal norms of 24-27°C highs in early May. Current morning readings near 14-16°C suggest steady daytime ascent, but model uncertainty persists on cloud breaks or southerly winds that could nudge outcomes to 24°C (25%) or 26°C (19.5%). Airport observations will refine probabilities through resolution at midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,619Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts, released April 30 evening, project a high near 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1 under overcast skies (阴), aligning with global model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks around 25-26°C. This trader consensus, with 46.5% implied probability for 25°C, reflects a warming trend from 19°C on April 29 to 23°C yesterday, tempered by persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating despite seasonal norms of 24-27°C highs in early May. Current morning readings near 14-16°C suggest steady daytime ascent, but model uncertainty persists on cloud breaks or southerly winds that could nudge outcomes to 24°C (25%) or 26°C (19.5%). Airport observations will refine probabilities through resolution at midnight UTC.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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