Latest ensemble forecasts from leading numerical weather prediction models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Shanghai's highest temperature on May 2 clustering near 23-24°C at the official Pudong International Airport station, fueling the razor-thin trader split with 34.5% implied probability for 23°C and 32.5% for 24°C. This tight contest stems from variability in projected cloud cover and sea breeze timing under southerly winds, which could cap peak heating by 1°C; partial sunshine enhances surface insolation, but marine influence moderates warmth. Early May climatology supports highs of 22-24°C amid lengthening days and subtropical high ridge buildup, with no disruptive fronts in recent 48-hour observations. Watch 12Z model runs and morning soundings for potential shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 2?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 2?
23°C 35%
24°C 33%
25°C 16%
22°C 13%
NUEVO
$11,432 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,432 Vol.
2 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
13%
23°C
35%
24°C
33%
25°C
16%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 35%
24°C 33%
25°C 16%
22°C 13%
NUEVO
$11,432 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,432 Vol.
2 may 2026
18°C or below
$1,359 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,350 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,043 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,310 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,302 Vol.
13%
23°C
$1,094 Vol.
35%
24°C
$1,065 Vol.
33%
25°C
$676 Vol.
16%
26°C
$754 Vol.
4%
27°C
$657 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$823 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from leading numerical weather prediction models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Shanghai's highest temperature on May 2 clustering near 23-24°C at the official Pudong International Airport station, fueling the razor-thin trader split with 34.5% implied probability for 23°C and 32.5% for 24°C. This tight contest stems from variability in projected cloud cover and sea breeze timing under southerly winds, which could cap peak heating by 1°C; partial sunshine enhances surface insolation, but marine influence moderates warmth. Early May climatology supports highs of 22-24°C amid lengthening days and subtropical high ridge buildup, with no disruptive fronts in recent 48-hour observations. Watch 12Z model runs and morning soundings for potential shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volumen
$11,432Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from leading numerical weather prediction models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Shanghai's highest temperature on May 2 clustering near 23-24°C at the official Pudong International Airport station, fueling the razor-thin trader split with 34.5% implied probability for 23°C and 32.5% for 24°C. This tight contest stems from variability in projected cloud cover and sea breeze timing under southerly winds, which could cap peak heating by 1°C; partial sunshine enhances surface insolation, but marine influence moderates warmth. Early May climatology supports highs of 22-24°C amid lengthening days and subtropical high ridge buildup, with no disruptive fronts in recent 48-hour observations. Watch 12Z model runs and morning soundings for potential shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,432Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from leading numerical weather prediction models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Shanghai's highest temperature on May 2 clustering near 23-24°C at the official Pudong International Airport station, fueling the razor-thin trader split with 34.5% implied probability for 23°C and 32.5% for 24°C. This tight contest stems from variability in projected cloud cover and sea breeze timing under southerly winds, which could cap peak heating by 1°C; partial sunshine enhances surface insolation, but marine influence moderates warmth. Early May climatology supports highs of 22-24°C amid lengthening days and subtropical high ridge buildup, with no disruptive fronts in recent 48-hour observations. Watch 12Z model runs and morning soundings for potential shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes