Latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts project a maximum temperature of around 36°C in Lucknow on May 2, anchoring trader sentiment with 51% implied probability for 36°C or below and 33.5% for exactly 37°C, amid a sharp cooldown from late-April heatwave peaks exceeding 43°C. Western disturbances have delivered partly cloudy skies and isolated thundershowers over the past week, suppressing solar insolation and dropping observed highs from 39.3°C on April 29 to projected 34-36°C through early May. While mainly clear conditions are expected tomorrow—potentially enabling minor daytime heating—persistent upper-air moisture tempers extremes against May climatological averages near 40°C. Uncertainty persists in model ensembles, with daily IMD updates and the official airport station observation determining resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 2?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 2?
36°C or below 52%
37°C 34%
38°C 11%
39°C 1.7%
$15,161 Vol.
$15,161 Vol.
36°C or below
52%
37°C
34%
38°C
11%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C or higher
<1%
36°C or below 52%
37°C 34%
38°C 11%
39°C 1.7%
$15,161 Vol.
$15,161 Vol.
36°C or below
52%
37°C
34%
38°C
11%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts project a maximum temperature of around 36°C in Lucknow on May 2, anchoring trader sentiment with 51% implied probability for 36°C or below and 33.5% for exactly 37°C, amid a sharp cooldown from late-April heatwave peaks exceeding 43°C. Western disturbances have delivered partly cloudy skies and isolated thundershowers over the past week, suppressing solar insolation and dropping observed highs from 39.3°C on April 29 to projected 34-36°C through early May. While mainly clear conditions are expected tomorrow—potentially enabling minor daytime heating—persistent upper-air moisture tempers extremes against May climatological averages near 40°C. Uncertainty persists in model ensembles, with daily IMD updates and the official airport station observation determining resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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