India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicate a maximum temperature around 36°C for Lucknow on May 1 under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mainly clear, with minimums near 22–23°C, yet trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 34°C or below at 74.5% implied probability, followed by 35°C (18.5%) and 36°C (11.5%). This positioning stems from early-morning observations at 21°C as of 2:30 IST, combined with potential isolated thunderstorms and gusty winds suppressing daytime heating, as per recent agro-met advisories. Pre-monsoon continental air masses typically push highs toward 40°C climatological averages, but current synoptic patterns—including northerly winds and convective cloud cover—have cooled recent model runs from prior 40°C days. Watch IMD hourly updates and station data through sunset at 18:38 IST for resolution-defining peaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 1?
34°C or below 75%
35°C 17%
36°C 12%
39°C <1%
$34,781 Vol.
$34,781 Vol.
34°C or below
75%
35°C
17%
36°C
12%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
34°C or below 75%
35°C 17%
36°C 12%
39°C <1%
$34,781 Vol.
$34,781 Vol.
34°C or below
75%
35°C
17%
36°C
12%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicate a maximum temperature around 36°C for Lucknow on May 1 under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mainly clear, with minimums near 22–23°C, yet trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 34°C or below at 74.5% implied probability, followed by 35°C (18.5%) and 36°C (11.5%). This positioning stems from early-morning observations at 21°C as of 2:30 IST, combined with potential isolated thunderstorms and gusty winds suppressing daytime heating, as per recent agro-met advisories. Pre-monsoon continental air masses typically push highs toward 40°C climatological averages, but current synoptic patterns—including northerly winds and convective cloud cover—have cooled recent model runs from prior 40°C days. Watch IMD hourly updates and station data through sunset at 18:38 IST for resolution-defining peaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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