Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 68-69°F (60%) in Los Angeles today, aligning with the National Weather Service's latest forecast for coastal areas like LAX, where persistent marine layer—low stratocumulus clouds advected onshore by light southerly winds—caps daytime heating. Yesterday's observed highs hovered around 68-69°F amid similar conditions, reinforcing this positioning against May climatological norms of 74°F. Cool sea surface temperatures and a shallow marine inversion limit mixing, though 28.5% market-implied odds for 70°F+ reflect uncertainty in afternoon burn-off timing per model ensembles. Hourly NOAA observations through sunset will sharpen resolution as onshore flow dominates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 14?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 14?
68-69°F 60%
70°F or higher 29%
66-67°F 15%
64-65°F <1%
$25,167 Vol.
$25,167 Vol.
51°F or below
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
60%
70°F or higher
29%
68-69°F 60%
70°F or higher 29%
66-67°F 15%
64-65°F <1%
$25,167 Vol.
$25,167 Vol.
51°F or below
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
60%
70°F or higher
29%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 68-69°F (60%) in Los Angeles today, aligning with the National Weather Service's latest forecast for coastal areas like LAX, where persistent marine layer—low stratocumulus clouds advected onshore by light southerly winds—caps daytime heating. Yesterday's observed highs hovered around 68-69°F amid similar conditions, reinforcing this positioning against May climatological norms of 74°F. Cool sea surface temperatures and a shallow marine inversion limit mixing, though 28.5% market-implied odds for 70°F+ reflect uncertainty in afternoon burn-off timing per model ensembles. Hourly NOAA observations through sunset will sharpen resolution as onshore flow dominates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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