Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 70-71°F (41%) or 72°F or higher (31%) in Los Angeles on May 1, driven by National Weather Service short-range forecasts from HRRR and GFS models projecting peak daytime highs in the low 70s amid persistent coastal marine layer and onshore breezes from the cool Pacific Ocean. This aligns closely with climatological normals at Los Angeles International Airport—likely the resolution station—where the May 1 average maximum is 69°F, with historical ranges rarely exceeding 84°F early in the month. Recent overnight observations show morning lows near 55°F, supporting limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, though model spread introduces uncertainty for slight warm-up if stratus clears inland by afternoon. Hourly updates from NOAA stations will refine the outcome as the day progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 1?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 1?
70-71°F 41%
72°F or higher 34%
68-69°F 19%
66-67°F 2.7%
NUEVO
$18,196 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,196 Vol.
1 may 2026
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
41%
72°F or higher
34%
70-71°F 41%
72°F or higher 34%
68-69°F 19%
66-67°F 2.7%
NUEVO
$18,196 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,196 Vol.
1 may 2026
53°F or below
$123 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$122 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$863 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$479 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$3,520 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$2,763 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$2,135 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$2,692 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$1,400 Vol.
20%
70-71°F
$1,287 Vol.
41%
72°F or higher
$2,812 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 70-71°F (41%) or 72°F or higher (31%) in Los Angeles on May 1, driven by National Weather Service short-range forecasts from HRRR and GFS models projecting peak daytime highs in the low 70s amid persistent coastal marine layer and onshore breezes from the cool Pacific Ocean. This aligns closely with climatological normals at Los Angeles International Airport—likely the resolution station—where the May 1 average maximum is 69°F, with historical ranges rarely exceeding 84°F early in the month. Recent overnight observations show morning lows near 55°F, supporting limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, though model spread introduces uncertainty for slight warm-up if stratus clears inland by afternoon. Hourly updates from NOAA stations will refine the outcome as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volumen
$18,196Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 70-71°F (41%) or 72°F or higher (31%) in Los Angeles on May 1, driven by National Weather Service short-range forecasts from HRRR and GFS models projecting peak daytime highs in the low 70s amid persistent coastal marine layer and onshore breezes from the cool Pacific Ocean. This aligns closely with climatological normals at Los Angeles International Airport—likely the resolution station—where the May 1 average maximum is 69°F, with historical ranges rarely exceeding 84°F early in the month. Recent overnight observations show morning lows near 55°F, supporting limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, though model spread introduces uncertainty for slight warm-up if stratus clears inland by afternoon. Hourly updates from NOAA stations will refine the outcome as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$18,196Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 70-71°F (41%) or 72°F or higher (31%) in Los Angeles on May 1, driven by National Weather Service short-range forecasts from HRRR and GFS models projecting peak daytime highs in the low 70s amid persistent coastal marine layer and onshore breezes from the cool Pacific Ocean. This aligns closely with climatological normals at Los Angeles International Airport—likely the resolution station—where the May 1 average maximum is 69°F, with historical ranges rarely exceeding 84°F early in the month. Recent overnight observations show morning lows near 55°F, supporting limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, though model spread introduces uncertainty for slight warm-up if stratus clears inland by afternoon. Hourly updates from NOAA stations will refine the outcome as the day progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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