Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 34.5% implied probability for a 35°C high in Jeddah on May 2 at King Abdulaziz International Airport, edging out 36°C at 29.0%, reflecting tight clustering in the latest GFS and ECMWF numerical weather prediction model ensembles around 34–36°C amid a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and moderate northwest winds. This positioning stems from yesterday's observed high near 34°C and early May climatology, where daily maxima average 35–36°C with coastal sea breezes capping peaks, though slight ensemble spread arises from uncertainties in cloud cover, humidity-driven mixing, and afternoon solar heating intensity. New 12z model runs and local observations today could refine this narrow range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 2?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 2?
35°C 35%
36°C 30%
37°C 10%
34°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
9%
35°C
35%
36°C
30%
37°C
10%
38°C
7%
39°C or higher
2%
35°C 35%
36°C 30%
37°C 10%
34°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
29°C or below
$667 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$385 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$324 Vol.
1%
32°C
$788 Vol.
1%
33°C
$585 Vol.
2%
34°C
$625 Vol.
9%
35°C
$31 Vol.
35%
36°C
$87 Vol.
30%
37°C
$273 Vol.
10%
38°C
$61 Vol.
7%
39°C or higher
$79 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 34.5% implied probability for a 35°C high in Jeddah on May 2 at King Abdulaziz International Airport, edging out 36°C at 29.0%, reflecting tight clustering in the latest GFS and ECMWF numerical weather prediction model ensembles around 34–36°C amid a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and moderate northwest winds. This positioning stems from yesterday's observed high near 34°C and early May climatology, where daily maxima average 35–36°C with coastal sea breezes capping peaks, though slight ensemble spread arises from uncertainties in cloud cover, humidity-driven mixing, and afternoon solar heating intensity. New 12z model runs and local observations today could refine this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$3,906Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 34.5% implied probability for a 35°C high in Jeddah on May 2 at King Abdulaziz International Airport, edging out 36°C at 29.0%, reflecting tight clustering in the latest GFS and ECMWF numerical weather prediction model ensembles around 34–36°C amid a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and moderate northwest winds. This positioning stems from yesterday's observed high near 34°C and early May climatology, where daily maxima average 35–36°C with coastal sea breezes capping peaks, though slight ensemble spread arises from uncertainties in cloud cover, humidity-driven mixing, and afternoon solar heating intensity. New 12z model runs and local observations today could refine this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,906Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 34.5% implied probability for a 35°C high in Jeddah on May 2 at King Abdulaziz International Airport, edging out 36°C at 29.0%, reflecting tight clustering in the latest GFS and ECMWF numerical weather prediction model ensembles around 34–36°C amid a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and moderate northwest winds. This positioning stems from yesterday's observed high near 34°C and early May climatology, where daily maxima average 35–36°C with coastal sea breezes capping peaks, though slight ensemble spread arises from uncertainties in cloud cover, humidity-driven mixing, and afternoon solar heating intensity. New 12z model runs and local observations today could refine this narrow range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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