Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly splits between 21°C (39.5%) and 20°C (38.0%) for Helsinki-Vantaa Airport's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 20°C amid a high-pressure ridge over the Baltic Sea delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong midday solar insolation from overnight lows around 8°C. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) more conservative hourly guidance caps at 14°C due to potential boundary-layer stability limiting vertical mixing, while airport microclimates and dry conditions—under a wildfire warning—favor warmer outcomes closer to 19–21°C. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in peak-hour cloud development and surface heating efficiency; real-time FMI observations and 12Z model updates later today could resolve the uncertainty as solar forcing peaks between 13:00–16:00 local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 1?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 1?
21°C 41%
20°C 39%
19°C 12%
22°C 8.6%
NUEVO
$30,500 Vol.
NUEVO
$30,500 Vol.
1 may 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
12%
20°C
39%
21°C
41%
22°C
9%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 41%
20°C 39%
19°C 12%
22°C 8.6%
NUEVO
$30,500 Vol.
NUEVO
$30,500 Vol.
1 may 2026
14°C or below
$4,250 Vol.
1%
15°C
$5,240 Vol.
1%
16°C
$3,430 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$4,243 Vol.
1%
18°C
$3,777 Vol.
2%
19°C
$2,265 Vol.
12%
20°C
$1,243 Vol.
39%
21°C
$1,186 Vol.
41%
22°C
$774 Vol.
9%
23°C
$2,483 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$1,737 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly splits between 21°C (39.5%) and 20°C (38.0%) for Helsinki-Vantaa Airport's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 20°C amid a high-pressure ridge over the Baltic Sea delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong midday solar insolation from overnight lows around 8°C. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) more conservative hourly guidance caps at 14°C due to potential boundary-layer stability limiting vertical mixing, while airport microclimates and dry conditions—under a wildfire warning—favor warmer outcomes closer to 19–21°C. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in peak-hour cloud development and surface heating efficiency; real-time FMI observations and 12Z model updates later today could resolve the uncertainty as solar forcing peaks between 13:00–16:00 local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$30,500Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly splits between 21°C (39.5%) and 20°C (38.0%) for Helsinki-Vantaa Airport's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 20°C amid a high-pressure ridge over the Baltic Sea delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong midday solar insolation from overnight lows around 8°C. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) more conservative hourly guidance caps at 14°C due to potential boundary-layer stability limiting vertical mixing, while airport microclimates and dry conditions—under a wildfire warning—favor warmer outcomes closer to 19–21°C. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in peak-hour cloud development and surface heating efficiency; real-time FMI observations and 12Z model updates later today could resolve the uncertainty as solar forcing peaks between 13:00–16:00 local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$30,500Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly splits between 21°C (39.5%) and 20°C (38.0%) for Helsinki-Vantaa Airport's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 20°C amid a high-pressure ridge over the Baltic Sea delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong midday solar insolation from overnight lows around 8°C. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) more conservative hourly guidance caps at 14°C due to potential boundary-layer stability limiting vertical mixing, while airport microclimates and dry conditions—under a wildfire warning—favor warmer outcomes closer to 19–21°C. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in peak-hour cloud development and surface heating efficiency; real-time FMI observations and 12Z model updates later today could resolve the uncertainty as solar forcing peaks between 13:00–16:00 local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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