Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (33.5% implied probability) and 25°C (28.5%) for the highest temperature at Gimhae International Airport on May 2, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term guidance and global model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) projecting peak daytime heating near 24-25°C amid persistent high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula. This follows May 1's confirmed 12°C morning low—cooler than early-May norms—setting up a large diurnal temperature range with clear skies, light winds, and maximal solar insolation around 2-4 PM local time. Differentiating factors include potential sea-breeze onset tempering coastal Gimhae readings at 24°C versus delayed moderation allowing 25°C, plus minor model discrepancies of 0.5-1°C. Updated KMA hourly forecasts expected this afternoon could shift sentiment amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on May 2?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 2?
24°C 33%
25°C 28%
26°C 18%
23°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
33%
25°C
28%
26°C
18%
27°C or higher
7%
24°C 33%
25°C 28%
26°C 18%
23°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
17°C or below
$1,405 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$771 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,121 Vol.
1%
20°C
$216 Vol.
1%
21°C
$498 Vol.
1%
22°C
$167 Vol.
4%
23°C
$29 Vol.
11%
24°C
$146 Vol.
33%
25°C
$110 Vol.
28%
26°C
$100 Vol.
18%
27°C or higher
$275 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (33.5% implied probability) and 25°C (28.5%) for the highest temperature at Gimhae International Airport on May 2, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term guidance and global model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) projecting peak daytime heating near 24-25°C amid persistent high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula. This follows May 1's confirmed 12°C morning low—cooler than early-May norms—setting up a large diurnal temperature range with clear skies, light winds, and maximal solar insolation around 2-4 PM local time. Differentiating factors include potential sea-breeze onset tempering coastal Gimhae readings at 24°C versus delayed moderation allowing 25°C, plus minor model discrepancies of 0.5-1°C. Updated KMA hourly forecasts expected this afternoon could shift sentiment amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volumen
$4,839Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (33.5% implied probability) and 25°C (28.5%) for the highest temperature at Gimhae International Airport on May 2, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term guidance and global model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) projecting peak daytime heating near 24-25°C amid persistent high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula. This follows May 1's confirmed 12°C morning low—cooler than early-May norms—setting up a large diurnal temperature range with clear skies, light winds, and maximal solar insolation around 2-4 PM local time. Differentiating factors include potential sea-breeze onset tempering coastal Gimhae readings at 24°C versus delayed moderation allowing 25°C, plus minor model discrepancies of 0.5-1°C. Updated KMA hourly forecasts expected this afternoon could shift sentiment amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,839Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (33.5% implied probability) and 25°C (28.5%) for the highest temperature at Gimhae International Airport on May 2, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term guidance and global model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) projecting peak daytime heating near 24-25°C amid persistent high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula. This follows May 1's confirmed 12°C morning low—cooler than early-May norms—setting up a large diurnal temperature range with clear skies, light winds, and maximal solar insolation around 2-4 PM local time. Differentiating factors include potential sea-breeze onset tempering coastal Gimhae readings at 24°C versus delayed moderation allowing 25°C, plus minor model discrepancies of 0.5-1°C. Updated KMA hourly forecasts expected this afternoon could shift sentiment amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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