The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates unchanged at its April 30, 2026 meeting, yet President Christine Lagarde signaled a potential hike as soon as June amid Eurozone inflation surging to 3.0% overall and 2.2% core in April, with consumer expectations leaping to 4.0% one year ahead. ECB staff upgraded 2026 inflation forecasts to 2.6%—above the 2% target—driven by lingering energy price shocks from the Iran conflict despite its ceasefire, while March inflation hit 2.6%. This persistent upside pressure, echoed by IMF calls for 50 basis points of tightening, underpins trader consensus pricing a near-certain rate increase later this year to anchor expectations, though growth slowdowns could still temper action.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Subida de tipos del BCE en 2026?
¿Subida de tipos del BCE en 2026?
Sí
$104,783 Vol.
$104,783 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$104,783 Vol.
$104,783 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates unchanged at its April 30, 2026 meeting, yet President Christine Lagarde signaled a potential hike as soon as June amid Eurozone inflation surging to 3.0% overall and 2.2% core in April, with consumer expectations leaping to 4.0% one year ahead. ECB staff upgraded 2026 inflation forecasts to 2.6%—above the 2% target—driven by lingering energy price shocks from the Iran conflict despite its ceasefire, while March inflation hit 2.6%. This persistent upside pressure, echoed by IMF calls for 50 basis points of tightening, underpins trader consensus pricing a near-certain rate increase later this year to anchor expectations, though growth slowdowns could still temper action.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
Volumen
$104,783Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates unchanged at its April 30, 2026 meeting, yet President Christine Lagarde signaled a potential hike as soon as June amid Eurozone inflation surging to 3.0% overall and 2.2% core in April, with consumer expectations leaping to 4.0% one year ahead. ECB staff upgraded 2026 inflation forecasts to 2.6%—above the 2% target—driven by lingering energy price shocks from the Iran conflict despite its ceasefire, while March inflation hit 2.6%. This persistent upside pressure, echoed by IMF calls for 50 basis points of tightening, underpins trader consensus pricing a near-certain rate increase later this year to anchor expectations, though growth slowdowns could still temper action.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$104,783Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates unchanged at its April 30, 2026 meeting, yet President Christine Lagarde signaled a potential hike as soon as June amid Eurozone inflation surging to 3.0% overall and 2.2% core in April, with consumer expectations leaping to 4.0% one year ahead. ECB staff upgraded 2026 inflation forecasts to 2.6%—above the 2% target—driven by lingering energy price shocks from the Iran conflict despite its ceasefire, while March inflation hit 2.6%. This persistent upside pressure, echoed by IMF calls for 50 basis points of tightening, underpins trader consensus pricing a near-certain rate increase later this year to anchor expectations, though growth slowdowns could still temper action.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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