Eurozone inflation accelerated to 2.6% in March 2026—up from 1.9% in February and above the ECB's 2% target—fueled by energy price surges amid Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. ECB staff projections now forecast headline inflation averaging 2.6% for 2026, prompting hawkish signals from Governing Council members; Bundesbank President Nagel urged a June rate hike on May 1 unless the outlook improves markedly, while President Lagarde confirmed post-April 30 meeting debates on tightening despite holding the deposit rate at 2%. This trader consensus, implying near-certainty of at least one hike, reflects persistent upside risks, though sharp disinflation from energy relief or growth weakness could still shift policy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Subida de tipos del BCE en 2026?
¿Subida de tipos del BCE en 2026?
Sí
$103,024 Vol.
$103,024 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$103,024 Vol.
$103,024 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation accelerated to 2.6% in March 2026—up from 1.9% in February and above the ECB's 2% target—fueled by energy price surges amid Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. ECB staff projections now forecast headline inflation averaging 2.6% for 2026, prompting hawkish signals from Governing Council members; Bundesbank President Nagel urged a June rate hike on May 1 unless the outlook improves markedly, while President Lagarde confirmed post-April 30 meeting debates on tightening despite holding the deposit rate at 2%. This trader consensus, implying near-certainty of at least one hike, reflects persistent upside risks, though sharp disinflation from energy relief or growth weakness could still shift policy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
Volumen
$103,024Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation accelerated to 2.6% in March 2026—up from 1.9% in February and above the ECB's 2% target—fueled by energy price surges amid Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. ECB staff projections now forecast headline inflation averaging 2.6% for 2026, prompting hawkish signals from Governing Council members; Bundesbank President Nagel urged a June rate hike on May 1 unless the outlook improves markedly, while President Lagarde confirmed post-April 30 meeting debates on tightening despite holding the deposit rate at 2%. This trader consensus, implying near-certainty of at least one hike, reflects persistent upside risks, though sharp disinflation from energy relief or growth weakness could still shift policy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$103,024Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation accelerated to 2.6% in March 2026—up from 1.9% in February and above the ECB's 2% target—fueled by energy price surges amid Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. ECB staff projections now forecast headline inflation averaging 2.6% for 2026, prompting hawkish signals from Governing Council members; Bundesbank President Nagel urged a June rate hike on May 1 unless the outlook improves markedly, while President Lagarde confirmed post-April 30 meeting debates on tightening despite holding the deposit rate at 2%. This trader consensus, implying near-certainty of at least one hike, reflects persistent upside risks, though sharp disinflation from energy relief or growth weakness could still shift policy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes