Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.0% in April 2026 from 2.6% in March, fueled by surging energy prices amid Middle East tensions including the Iran conflict, leading the ECB Governing Council to hold key interest rates steady at 2% deposit rate on April 30. ECB President Christine Lagarde highlighted heightened inflation risks in her press conference, with staff revising 2026 headline inflation forecasts upward to 2.6% above the 2% target, while downplaying stagflation fears. This data-dependent stance, echoed by IMF projections for a 50 basis point hike, has shifted market pricing toward higher-for-longer policy, underpinning trader consensus at 84.5% against any ECB rate cut in 2026 barring a major growth shock.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$27,376 Vol.
$27,376 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$27,376 Vol.
$27,376 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.0% in April 2026 from 2.6% in March, fueled by surging energy prices amid Middle East tensions including the Iran conflict, leading the ECB Governing Council to hold key interest rates steady at 2% deposit rate on April 30. ECB President Christine Lagarde highlighted heightened inflation risks in her press conference, with staff revising 2026 headline inflation forecasts upward to 2.6% above the 2% target, while downplaying stagflation fears. This data-dependent stance, echoed by IMF projections for a 50 basis point hike, has shifted market pricing toward higher-for-longer policy, underpinning trader consensus at 84.5% against any ECB rate cut in 2026 barring a major growth shock.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Volumen
$27,376Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.0% in April 2026 from 2.6% in March, fueled by surging energy prices amid Middle East tensions including the Iran conflict, leading the ECB Governing Council to hold key interest rates steady at 2% deposit rate on April 30. ECB President Christine Lagarde highlighted heightened inflation risks in her press conference, with staff revising 2026 headline inflation forecasts upward to 2.6% above the 2% target, while downplaying stagflation fears. This data-dependent stance, echoed by IMF projections for a 50 basis point hike, has shifted market pricing toward higher-for-longer policy, underpinning trader consensus at 84.5% against any ECB rate cut in 2026 barring a major growth shock.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$27,376Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.0% in April 2026 from 2.6% in March, fueled by surging energy prices amid Middle East tensions including the Iran conflict, leading the ECB Governing Council to hold key interest rates steady at 2% deposit rate on April 30. ECB President Christine Lagarde highlighted heightened inflation risks in her press conference, with staff revising 2026 headline inflation forecasts upward to 2.6% above the 2% target, while downplaying stagflation fears. This data-dependent stance, echoed by IMF projections for a 50 basis point hike, has shifted market pricing toward higher-for-longer policy, underpinning trader consensus at 84.5% against any ECB rate cut in 2026 barring a major growth shock.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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