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Política·Elecciones Globales

Ceará Governor Election Winner

icon for Ceará Governor Election Winner
Política·Elecciones Globales

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ciro Gomes 52%

Elmano de Freitas 29%

Eduardo Girão 14.6%

Capitão Wagner 7.4%

Polymarket

$15,338 Vol.

Ciro Gomes 52%

Elmano de Freitas 29%

Eduardo Girão 14.6%

Capitão Wagner 7.4%

Polymarket

$15,338 Vol.

icon for Ciro Gomes

Ciro Gomes

$10,217 Vol.

52%

icon for Elmano de Freitas

Elmano de Freitas

$2,076 Vol.

29%

icon for Eduardo Girão

Eduardo Girão

$615 Vol.

15%

icon for Capitão Wagner

Capitão Wagner

$987 Vol.

7%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$824 Vol.

3%

icon for Roberto Cláudio

Roberto Cláudio

$619 Vol.

12%

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls, including the Genial/Quaest survey from April 24-28 showing Ciro Gomes (PSDB) at 41% ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 32%, alongside consistent leads in Datafolha, Paraná Pesquisas, and AtlasIntel releases from March-April, drive trader consensus positioning Gomes as the 51.5% implied probability favorite to win the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25. The challenger's enduring regional popularity and name recognition outpace the governor's incumbency edge, while fragmented right-wing support for Eduardo Girão (Novo, 15.7%), Roberto Cláudio (União Brasil, 12.6%), and Capitão Wagner boosts Gomes' first-round prospects. PT coalition decisions on backing Elmano over Camilo Santana (2.8%) remain a key uncertainty ahead of intensified campaigning.

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$15,338
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls, including the Genial/Quaest survey from April 24-28 showing Ciro Gomes (PSDB) at 41% ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 32%, alongside consistent leads in Datafolha, Paraná Pesquisas, and AtlasIntel releases from March-April, drive trader consensus positioning Gomes as the 51.5% implied probability favorite to win the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25. The challenger's enduring regional popularity and name recognition outpace the governor's incumbency edge, while fragmented right-wing support for Eduardo Girão (Novo, 15.7%), Roberto Cláudio (União Brasil, 12.6%), and Capitão Wagner boosts Gomes' first-round prospects. PT coalition decisions on backing Elmano over Camilo Santana (2.8%) remain a key uncertainty ahead of intensified campaigning.

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$15,338
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ceará Governor Election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ciro Gomes" con 52%, seguido de "Elmano de Freitas" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 52¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ceará Governor Election Winner" ha generado $15.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ceará Governor Election Winner", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ceará Governor Election Winner" es "Ciro Gomes" con 52%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Elmano de Freitas" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ceará Governor Election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.