Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the June 18, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the Committee's 8-1 vote to hold at 3.75% on April 30 amid heightened uncertainty from the Middle East conflict's energy shock. March 2026 CPI inflation rose to 3.3%—above the 2% target—driven by surging motor fuel prices, with projections showing persistence around 3.1%-3.3% through Q3 before potential Q4 upside if oil remains elevated near $115 per barrel. A 36.5% chance of a 25 basis points increase stems from chief economist Huw Pill's hawkish dissent and risks of second-round effects on wages amid a loosening labor market. Traders await April CPI data on May 20 and energy price trajectories to gauge policy response.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en junio?
¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en junio?
Sin cambio 65%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 37%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
$54,730 Vol.
$54,730 Vol.
18 jun 2026
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos
<1%
Sin cambio
65%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
37%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
1%
Sin cambio 65%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 37%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
$54,730 Vol.
$54,730 Vol.
18 jun 2026
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
$6,864 Vol.
1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos
$10,106 Vol.
<1%
Sin cambio
$11,368 Vol.
65%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
$18,656 Vol.
37%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
$7,736 Vol.
1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the June 18, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the Committee's 8-1 vote to hold at 3.75% on April 30 amid heightened uncertainty from the Middle East conflict's energy shock. March 2026 CPI inflation rose to 3.3%—above the 2% target—driven by surging motor fuel prices, with projections showing persistence around 3.1%-3.3% through Q3 before potential Q4 upside if oil remains elevated near $115 per barrel. A 36.5% chance of a 25 basis points increase stems from chief economist Huw Pill's hawkish dissent and risks of second-round effects on wages amid a loosening labor market. Traders await April CPI data on May 20 and energy price trajectories to gauge policy response.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volumen
$54,730Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the June 18, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the Committee's 8-1 vote to hold at 3.75% on April 30 amid heightened uncertainty from the Middle East conflict's energy shock. March 2026 CPI inflation rose to 3.3%—above the 2% target—driven by surging motor fuel prices, with projections showing persistence around 3.1%-3.3% through Q3 before potential Q4 upside if oil remains elevated near $115 per barrel. A 36.5% chance of a 25 basis points increase stems from chief economist Huw Pill's hawkish dissent and risks of second-round effects on wages amid a loosening labor market. Traders await April CPI data on May 20 and energy price trajectories to gauge policy response.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$54,730Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the June 18, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the Committee's 8-1 vote to hold at 3.75% on April 30 amid heightened uncertainty from the Middle East conflict's energy shock. March 2026 CPI inflation rose to 3.3%—above the 2% target—driven by surging motor fuel prices, with projections showing persistence around 3.1%-3.3% through Q3 before potential Q4 upside if oil remains elevated near $115 per barrel. A 36.5% chance of a 25 basis points increase stems from chief economist Huw Pill's hawkish dissent and risks of second-round effects on wages amid a loosening labor market. Traders await April CPI data on May 20 and energy price trajectories to gauge policy response.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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