The ongoing U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, enforced since mid-April 2026 amid stalled ceasefire talks with Iran, has severely restricted oil exports and trade, driving the Iranian rial to record depreciation against the USD. On April 29, open-market rates surged past 1.81 million IRR per USD before a partial recovery, with April 30 closing around 1.79 million amid persistent sanctions and economic freefall. Trader consensus reflects these geopolitical pressures from the 2026 conflict, hyperinflation, and disrupted remittances, outweighing official rates near 1.32 million. No major diplomatic breakthroughs occurred by deadline, though negotiations in Islamabad could signal de-escalation risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$180,463 Vol.
30 abr 2026
↑ 1.8M
2%
↓ 1,5M
2%
↓ 1,4M
1%
↓ 1,3M
<1%
$180,463 Vol.
↑ 1.8M
$34,701 Vol.
2%
↓ 1,5M
$19,234 Vol.
2%
↓ 1,4M
$23,358 Vol.
1%
↓ 1,3M
$28,552 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or above the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or below the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.The ongoing U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, enforced since mid-April 2026 amid stalled ceasefire talks with Iran, has severely restricted oil exports and trade, driving the Iranian rial to record depreciation against the USD. On April 29, open-market rates surged past 1.81 million IRR per USD before a partial recovery, with April 30 closing around 1.79 million amid persistent sanctions and economic freefall. Trader consensus reflects these geopolitical pressures from the 2026 conflict, hyperinflation, and disrupted remittances, outweighing official rates near 1.32 million. No major diplomatic breakthroughs occurred by deadline, though negotiations in Islamabad could signal de-escalation risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or above the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Volumen
$180,463Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or above the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or below the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.The ongoing U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, enforced since mid-April 2026 amid stalled ceasefire talks with Iran, has severely restricted oil exports and trade, driving the Iranian rial to record depreciation against the USD. On April 29, open-market rates surged past 1.81 million IRR per USD before a partial recovery, with April 30 closing around 1.79 million amid persistent sanctions and economic freefall. Trader consensus reflects these geopolitical pressures from the 2026 conflict, hyperinflation, and disrupted remittances, outweighing official rates near 1.32 million. No major diplomatic breakthroughs occurred by deadline, though negotiations in Islamabad could signal de-escalation risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or above the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$180,463Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, enforced since mid-April 2026 amid stalled ceasefire talks with Iran, has severely restricted oil exports and trade, driving the Iranian rial to record depreciation against the USD. On April 29, open-market rates surged past 1.81 million IRR per USD before a partial recovery, with April 30 closing around 1.79 million amid persistent sanctions and economic freefall. Trader consensus reflects these geopolitical pressures from the 2026 conflict, hyperinflation, and disrupted remittances, outweighing official rates near 1.32 million. No major diplomatic breakthroughs occurred by deadline, though negotiations in Islamabad could signal de-escalation risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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