March 2026 Consumer Price Index reaccelerated to 3.3% year-over-year, the highest since May 2024 and up from February's 2.4%, propelled by a 10.9% energy index surge—gasoline alone rose 21.2% amid Middle East tensions boosting crude prices. Core CPI edged up modestly to 2.6% year-over-year, signaling contained underlying pressures. The FOMC held the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% following its April 29 meeting, with notable internal dissent reflecting inflation worries. Polymarket trader consensus weighs transient energy effects against persistent risks like tariffs; watch April CPI release on May 12 ahead of the June 16-17 FOMC for shifts in 2026 peak inflation expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$791,606 Vol.
Por encima del 3,5%
95%
Por encima del 4%
70%
Por encima del 5%
30%
Por encima del 6%
15%
Por encima del 8%
7%
Por encima del 10%
5%
$791,606 Vol.
Por encima del 3,5%
95%
Por encima del 4%
70%
Por encima del 5%
30%
Por encima del 6%
15%
Por encima del 8%
7%
Por encima del 10%
5%
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...March 2026 Consumer Price Index reaccelerated to 3.3% year-over-year, the highest since May 2024 and up from February's 2.4%, propelled by a 10.9% energy index surge—gasoline alone rose 21.2% amid Middle East tensions boosting crude prices. Core CPI edged up modestly to 2.6% year-over-year, signaling contained underlying pressures. The FOMC held the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% following its April 29 meeting, with notable internal dissent reflecting inflation worries. Polymarket trader consensus weighs transient energy effects against persistent risks like tariffs; watch April CPI release on May 12 ahead of the June 16-17 FOMC for shifts in 2026 peak inflation expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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