Persistent economic slowdown and moderating inflation pressures anchor trader expectations for another Bank of Russia key rate cut at the July 24 meeting, driving an 80% implied probability of a decrease from the current 14.5% level. The central bank’s April 50-basis-point reduction and its baseline forecast for a 14.0–14.5% average key rate in 2026 reflected easing inflation expectations and narrowing demand-supply gaps. President Putin’s June 10 comments citing falling inflation near 5% reinforced the dovish tilt ahead of the June 19 decision, which will provide the next signal on the pace of easing. Geopolitical uncertainties and fiscal policy risks continue to support a cautious approach, keeping the probability of no change or a hike low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBank of Russia decision in July?
Decrease 80%
No Change 16%
Increase 3.1%
Decrease
80%
No Change
16%
Increase
3%
Decrease 80%
No Change 16%
Increase 3.1%
Decrease
80%
No Change
16%
Increase
3%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent economic slowdown and moderating inflation pressures anchor trader expectations for another Bank of Russia key rate cut at the July 24 meeting, driving an 80% implied probability of a decrease from the current 14.5% level. The central bank’s April 50-basis-point reduction and its baseline forecast for a 14.0–14.5% average key rate in 2026 reflected easing inflation expectations and narrowing demand-supply gaps. President Putin’s June 10 comments citing falling inflation near 5% reinforced the dovish tilt ahead of the June 19 decision, which will provide the next signal on the pace of easing. Geopolitical uncertainties and fiscal policy risks continue to support a cautious approach, keeping the probability of no change or a hike low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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