**Firm May labor market data and persistently elevated inflation readings have anchored trader expectations for a unanimous decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, driving the 68.5% implied probability of zero dissents.** Resilient payroll growth and an unemployment rate near 4.3% continue to support maximum-employment goals, while recent CPI prints above the 2% target—exacerbated by prior energy and tariff effects—reinforce the case for patience and removal of any easing bias language in the statement. The April meeting’s record four dissents highlighted risks of divergence when inflation concerns intensify, yet current pricing reflects broad alignment around a data-dependent hold amid low odds of near-term policy shifts. Futures markets now assign minimal probability to cuts this year and some scope for later hikes if price pressures persist. The June statement, dot plot revisions, and incoming communications from Chair Kevin Warsh represent the immediate catalysts for any sentiment shift.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHow many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 68%
1 18%
2 6%
3 2.7%
$33,349 Vol.
$33,349 Vol.
17 jun 2026
0
68%
1
18%
2
6%
3
3%
4+
<1%
0 68%
1 18%
2 6%
3 2.7%
$33,349 Vol.
$33,349 Vol.
17 jun 2026
0
$17,431 Vol.
68%
1
$1,350 Vol.
18%
2
$604 Vol.
6%
3
$2,202 Vol.
3%
4+
$11,763 Vol.
<1%
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Firm May labor market data and persistently elevated inflation readings have anchored trader expectations for a unanimous decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, driving the 68.5% implied probability of zero dissents.** Resilient payroll growth and an unemployment rate near 4.3% continue to support maximum-employment goals, while recent CPI prints above the 2% target—exacerbated by prior energy and tariff effects—reinforce the case for patience and removal of any easing bias language in the statement. The April meeting’s record four dissents highlighted risks of divergence when inflation concerns intensify, yet current pricing reflects broad alignment around a data-dependent hold amid low odds of near-term policy shifts. Futures markets now assign minimal probability to cuts this year and some scope for later hikes if price pressures persist. The June statement, dot plot revisions, and incoming communications from Chair Kevin Warsh represent the immediate catalysts for any sentiment shift.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Volumen
$33,349Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Firm May labor market data and persistently elevated inflation readings have anchored trader expectations for a unanimous decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, driving the 68.5% implied probability of zero dissents.** Resilient payroll growth and an unemployment rate near 4.3% continue to support maximum-employment goals, while recent CPI prints above the 2% target—exacerbated by prior energy and tariff effects—reinforce the case for patience and removal of any easing bias language in the statement. The April meeting’s record four dissents highlighted risks of divergence when inflation concerns intensify, yet current pricing reflects broad alignment around a data-dependent hold amid low odds of near-term policy shifts. Futures markets now assign minimal probability to cuts this year and some scope for later hikes if price pressures persist. The June statement, dot plot revisions, and incoming communications from Chair Kevin Warsh represent the immediate catalysts for any sentiment shift.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$33,349Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Firm May labor market data and persistently elevated inflation readings have anchored trader expectations for a unanimous decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, driving the 68.5% implied probability of zero dissents.** Resilient payroll growth and an unemployment rate near 4.3% continue to support maximum-employment goals, while recent CPI prints above the 2% target—exacerbated by prior energy and tariff effects—reinforce the case for patience and removal of any easing bias language in the statement. The April meeting’s record four dissents highlighted risks of divergence when inflation concerns intensify, yet current pricing reflects broad alignment around a data-dependent hold amid low odds of near-term policy shifts. Futures markets now assign minimal probability to cuts this year and some scope for later hikes if price pressures persist. The June statement, dot plot revisions, and incoming communications from Chair Kevin Warsh represent the immediate catalysts for any sentiment shift.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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