Strong semiconductor-driven export growth, with May shipments surging 53.2% year-over-year to a record $87.75 billion and chip exports up 169%, remains the dominant factor anchoring trader expectations for South Korea’s Q2 2026 GDP. This momentum follows Q1’s robust 1.8% quarter-on-quarter expansion and 3.6–3.8% year-on-year rise, supported by facility investment and recovering domestic demand. However, base effects, elevated oil prices lifting May CPI to 3.1%, and moderating global demand create uncertainty around the precise pace, keeping the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% ranges in close contention at 47.7% and 41.5% implied probability. Forecasters project full-year growth near 2.0–2.6%, with upcoming June trade data and Bank of Korea communications likely to influence final positioning before the July preliminary release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSouth Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?
3.0–3.4% 44%
2.5–2.9% 40.5%
4.5%+ 22.6%
2.0–2.4% 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 jul 2026
<1.5%
7%
1.5–1.9%
9%
2.0–2.4%
12%
2.5–2.9%
41%
3.0–3.4%
41%
3.5–3.9%
32%
4.0–4.4%
8%
4.5%+
23%
3.0–3.4% 44%
2.5–2.9% 40.5%
4.5%+ 22.6%
2.0–2.4% 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 jul 2026
<1.5%
$335 Vol.
7%
1.5–1.9%
$233 Vol.
9%
2.0–2.4%
$410 Vol.
12%
2.5–2.9%
$264 Vol.
41%
3.0–3.4%
$310 Vol.
41%
3.5–3.9%
$528 Vol.
32%
4.0–4.4%
$340 Vol.
8%
4.5%+
$332 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01Strong semiconductor-driven export growth, with May shipments surging 53.2% year-over-year to a record $87.75 billion and chip exports up 169%, remains the dominant factor anchoring trader expectations for South Korea’s Q2 2026 GDP. This momentum follows Q1’s robust 1.8% quarter-on-quarter expansion and 3.6–3.8% year-on-year rise, supported by facility investment and recovering domestic demand. However, base effects, elevated oil prices lifting May CPI to 3.1%, and moderating global demand create uncertainty around the precise pace, keeping the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% ranges in close contention at 47.7% and 41.5% implied probability. Forecasters project full-year growth near 2.0–2.6%, with upcoming June trade data and Bank of Korea communications likely to influence final positioning before the July preliminary release.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
Mercado abierto: Apr 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volumen
$2,751Fecha de finalización
23 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01Strong semiconductor-driven export growth, with May shipments surging 53.2% year-over-year to a record $87.75 billion and chip exports up 169%, remains the dominant factor anchoring trader expectations for South Korea’s Q2 2026 GDP. This momentum follows Q1’s robust 1.8% quarter-on-quarter expansion and 3.6–3.8% year-on-year rise, supported by facility investment and recovering domestic demand. However, base effects, elevated oil prices lifting May CPI to 3.1%, and moderating global demand create uncertainty around the precise pace, keeping the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% ranges in close contention at 47.7% and 41.5% implied probability. Forecasters project full-year growth near 2.0–2.6%, with upcoming June trade data and Bank of Korea communications likely to influence final positioning before the July preliminary release.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
Volumen
$2,751Fecha de finalización
23 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong semiconductor-driven export growth, with May shipments surging 53.2% year-over-year to a record $87.75 billion and chip exports up 169%, remains the dominant factor anchoring trader expectations for South Korea’s Q2 2026 GDP. This momentum follows Q1’s robust 1.8% quarter-on-quarter expansion and 3.6–3.8% year-on-year rise, supported by facility investment and recovering domestic demand. However, base effects, elevated oil prices lifting May CPI to 3.1%, and moderating global demand create uncertainty around the precise pace, keeping the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% ranges in close contention at 47.7% and 41.5% implied probability. Forecasters project full-year growth near 2.0–2.6%, with upcoming June trade data and Bank of Korea communications likely to influence final positioning before the July preliminary release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes