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Finanzas·Aceite

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

icon for Will gas hit __ by end of May?
Finanzas·Aceite

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

NUEVO
31 may 2026
Polymarket

$1,444 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$131 Vol.

23%

↑ $4.70

$236 Vol.

30%

↑ $4.60

$246 Vol.

33%

↑ $4.50

$60 Vol.

68%

↑ $4.45

$17 Vol.

69%

↑ $4.40

$0 Vol.

87%

↑ $4.35

$546 Vol.

92%

↓ $4.25

$0 Vol.

78%

↓ $4.20

$0 Vol.

84%

↓ $4.10

$40 Vol.

83%

↓ $4.00

$0 Vol.

68%

↓ $3.75

$148 Vol.

18%

↓ $3.50

$20 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. retail gasoline prices have surged to a national average of $4.30 per gallon for regular unleaded as of late April 2026, marking a new yearly high and up over 30% year-over-year, primarily driven by WTI crude oil climbing above $105 per barrel amid heightened Middle East geopolitical risks, including Iran-related tensions. Elevated refinery crack spreads—currently exceeding $30 per barrel—have amplified the crude-to-pump linkage, while inventories remain below five-year averages. EIA's April Short-Term Energy Outlook forecasts a full-year average of $3.70/gal, signaling potential Q3 moderation from increased production, but Memorial Day weekend demand ramp-up poses upside risk through May's end. Weekly EIA petroleum status reports and OPEC+ meeting outcomes will be pivotal catalysts shaping trader consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$1,444
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. retail gasoline prices have surged to a national average of $4.30 per gallon for regular unleaded as of late April 2026, marking a new yearly high and up over 30% year-over-year, primarily driven by WTI crude oil climbing above $105 per barrel amid heightened Middle East geopolitical risks, including Iran-related tensions. Elevated refinery crack spreads—currently exceeding $30 per barrel—have amplified the crude-to-pump linkage, while inventories remain below five-year averages. EIA's April Short-Term Energy Outlook forecasts a full-year average of $3.70/gal, signaling potential Q3 moderation from increased production, but Memorial Day weekend demand ramp-up poses upside risk through May's end. Weekly EIA petroleum status reports and OPEC+ meeting outcomes will be pivotal catalysts shaping trader consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$1,444
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will gas hit __ by end of May?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "↑ $4.35" con 92%, seguido de "↑ $4.40" con 87%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 92¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will gas hit __ by end of May?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will gas hit __ by end of May?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" es "↑ $4.35" con 92%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "↑ $4.40" con 87%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.