The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) records no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the 7.4-magnitude event 100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026—11 days ago—following another 7.4 near Bitung, Indonesia, on April 1. Five such major quakes have struck in 2026 so far, aligning with USGS long-term global averages of 16–20 annually (about 1.3–1.7 monthly), mostly along Pacific Ring of Fire fault systems where tectonic plates converge. While short-term seismic forecasting is impossible due to unpredictable stress accumulation and release, historical frequency informs trader sentiment toward an imminent event. USGS provides continuous real-time monitoring and final magnitude reviews, critical for market resolution on any qualifying quake anywhere.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?
¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?
$17,261 Vol.
31 may 2026
30 de abril
1%
15 de mayo
51%
30 de mayo
74%
$17,261 Vol.
30 de abril
$11,855 Vol.
1%
15 de mayo
$1,247 Vol.
51%
30 de mayo
$4,159 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) records no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the 7.4-magnitude event 100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026—11 days ago—following another 7.4 near Bitung, Indonesia, on April 1. Five such major quakes have struck in 2026 so far, aligning with USGS long-term global averages of 16–20 annually (about 1.3–1.7 monthly), mostly along Pacific Ring of Fire fault systems where tectonic plates converge. While short-term seismic forecasting is impossible due to unpredictable stress accumulation and release, historical frequency informs trader sentiment toward an imminent event. USGS provides continuous real-time monitoring and final magnitude reviews, critical for market resolution on any qualifying quake anywhere.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Volumen
$17,261Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) records no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the 7.4-magnitude event 100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026—11 days ago—following another 7.4 near Bitung, Indonesia, on April 1. Five such major quakes have struck in 2026 so far, aligning with USGS long-term global averages of 16–20 annually (about 1.3–1.7 monthly), mostly along Pacific Ring of Fire fault systems where tectonic plates converge. While short-term seismic forecasting is impossible due to unpredictable stress accumulation and release, historical frequency informs trader sentiment toward an imminent event. USGS provides continuous real-time monitoring and final magnitude reviews, critical for market resolution on any qualifying quake anywhere.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volumen
$17,261Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) records no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the 7.4-magnitude event 100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026—11 days ago—following another 7.4 near Bitung, Indonesia, on April 1. Five such major quakes have struck in 2026 so far, aligning with USGS long-term global averages of 16–20 annually (about 1.3–1.7 monthly), mostly along Pacific Ring of Fire fault systems where tectonic plates converge. While short-term seismic forecasting is impossible due to unpredictable stress accumulation and release, historical frequency informs trader sentiment toward an imminent event. USGS provides continuous real-time monitoring and final magnitude reviews, critical for market resolution on any qualifying quake anywhere.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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