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Big Tech predictions & odds

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Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

81%

Anthropic

$2M Vol.

$908K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

67%

NVIDIA

$8M Vol.

$425K today

$945K Liq.

79

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

66%

Anthropic

$5M Vol.

$157K today

$815K Liq.

61

Ends in about 2 months

Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

78%

NVIDIA

$428K Vol.

$154K today

$298K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

56%

NVIDIA

$2M Vol.

$96.7K today

$444K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

72%

Anthropic

$118K Vol.

$62.0K today

$97.2K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

35%

$79.7K Vol.

$59.5K today

$8.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

1%

Successful splash down?

$2M Vol.

$26.9K Liq.

41

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

47%

June 30

$927K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

52

Ends in about 2 months

IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

99%

Cerebras

$6M Vol.

$75.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

36%

1.5T-2.0T

$2M Vol.

$25.0K Liq.

7

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

97%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$74.1K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

72%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$43.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

>$1T

$2M Vol.

$62.8K Liq.

19

Ends in over 1 year

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

58%

Other (incl $SPCX)

$5M Vol.

$113K Liq.

225

Ends in over 1 year

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

55%

2.0T+

$875K Vol.

$61.7K Liq.

8

Ends in over 1 year

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?

99%

ChatGPT

$14.2K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

89%

Elon Musk

$2M Vol.

$354K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Elon Musk Net Worth on April 30?

Elon Musk Net Worth on April 30?

98%

650-660b

$102K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

75%

Cursor

$18M Vol.

$29.6K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Big Tech.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Big Tech that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which company has the best AI model end of May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $58.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which companies will be acquired before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which companies will be acquired before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to iRobot. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Big Tech predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.