Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors initial public offerings from AI chipmaker Cerebras and SpaceX before year-end, propelled by Cerebras' public S-1 filing on April 17—disclosing $510 million in annual revenue—and SpaceX's confidential IPO registration earlier this month, targeting a June roadshow at up to $1.75 trillion valuation. Discord's February confidential filing adds momentum amid 2025's IPO resurgence, with AI sector growth and improving public markets pressuring unicorns like Anthropic and Databricks to list amid competitive dynamics in machine learning hardware and large language models. Key catalysts include SpaceX's early summer pricing and potential Q3 S-1s, though macroeconomic volatility or regulatory scrutiny could prompt delays before the December 31 deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$6,090,106 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Cerebras
98%
SpaceX
95%
Discord
64%
Anthropic
59%
WHOOP
36%
Remote
34%
OpenAI
32%
Applied Intuition
23%
Databricks
22%
SHEIN
21%
Deel
19%
Glean
18%
Rippling
16%
Fannie Mae
16%
Ramp
15%
Ledger
15%
Mistral AI
14%
Freddie Mac
13%
Anduril
13%
ByteDance
13%
Canva
12%
Anduril Industries
11%
Waymo
10%
Vanta
10%
Celonis
9%
Revolut
9%
Epic Games
8%
Ripple Labs
8%
Stripe
8%
Anysphere (Cursor)
7%
Brex
1%
$6,090,106 Vol.
Cerebras
$360,917 Vol.
98%
SpaceX
$558,463 Vol.
95%
Discord
$442,449 Vol.
64%
Anthropic
$203,133 Vol.
59%
WHOOP
$180 Vol.
36%
Remote
$54,777 Vol.
34%
OpenAI
$228,307 Vol.
32%
Applied Intuition
$191,960 Vol.
23%
Databricks
$466,895 Vol.
22%
SHEIN
$78,415 Vol.
21%
Deel
$121,562 Vol.
19%
Glean
$44,140 Vol.
18%
Rippling
$120,312 Vol.
16%
Fannie Mae
$160,699 Vol.
16%
Ramp
$142,887 Vol.
15%
Ledger
$507,497 Vol.
15%
Mistral AI
$148,135 Vol.
14%
Freddie Mac
$246,406 Vol.
13%
Anduril
$349,554 Vol.
13%
ByteDance
$9,228 Vol.
13%
Canva
$35,972 Vol.
12%
Anduril Industries
$30,781 Vol.
11%
Waymo
$52,626 Vol.
10%
Vanta
$130,889 Vol.
10%
Celonis
$208,387 Vol.
9%
Revolut
$58,341 Vol.
9%
Epic Games
$71,028 Vol.
8%
Ripple Labs
$148,644 Vol.
8%
Stripe
$250,853 Vol.
8%
Anysphere (Cursor)
$98,771 Vol.
7%
Brex
$207,881 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors initial public offerings from AI chipmaker Cerebras and SpaceX before year-end, propelled by Cerebras' public S-1 filing on April 17—disclosing $510 million in annual revenue—and SpaceX's confidential IPO registration earlier this month, targeting a June roadshow at up to $1.75 trillion valuation. Discord's February confidential filing adds momentum amid 2025's IPO resurgence, with AI sector growth and improving public markets pressuring unicorns like Anthropic and Databricks to list amid competitive dynamics in machine learning hardware and large language models. Key catalysts include SpaceX's early summer pricing and potential Q3 S-1s, though macroeconomic volatility or regulatory scrutiny could prompt delays before the December 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$6,090,106End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors initial public offerings from AI chipmaker Cerebras and SpaceX before year-end, propelled by Cerebras' public S-1 filing on April 17—disclosing $510 million in annual revenue—and SpaceX's confidential IPO registration earlier this month, targeting a June roadshow at up to $1.75 trillion valuation. Discord's February confidential filing adds momentum amid 2025's IPO resurgence, with AI sector growth and improving public markets pressuring unicorns like Anthropic and Databricks to list amid competitive dynamics in machine learning hardware and large language models. Key catalysts include SpaceX's early summer pricing and potential Q3 S-1s, though macroeconomic volatility or regulatory scrutiny could prompt delays before the December 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,090,106End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors initial public offerings from AI chipmaker Cerebras and SpaceX before year-end, propelled by Cerebras' public S-1 filing on April 17—disclosing $510 million in annual revenue—and SpaceX's confidential IPO registration earlier this month, targeting a June roadshow at up to $1.75 trillion valuation. Discord's February confidential filing adds momentum amid 2025's IPO resurgence, with AI sector growth and improving public markets pressuring unicorns like Anthropic and Databricks to list amid competitive dynamics in machine learning hardware and large language models. Key catalysts include SpaceX's early summer pricing and potential Q3 S-1s, though macroeconomic volatility or regulatory scrutiny could prompt delays before the December 31 deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions