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Tech·IPOs

IPOs before 2027?

icon for IPOs before 2027?
Tech·IPOs

IPOs before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$6,599,048 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$6,599,048 Vol.

Polymarket
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Anthropic

$315,073 Vol.

84%

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Discord

$456,070 Vol.

64%

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OpenAI

$341,236 Vol.

56%

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WHOOP

$379 Vol.

35%

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Remote

$54,643 Vol.

22%

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Mistral AI

$152,067 Vol.

20%

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Databricks

$475,233 Vol.

20%

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Applied Intuition

$198,565 Vol.

19%

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SHEIN

$79,914 Vol.

19%

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Canva

$37,351 Vol.

27%

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Rippling

$118,594 Vol.

17%

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Glean

$46,941 Vol.

17%

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Vanta

$131,809 Vol.

14%

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Freddie Mac

$245,342 Vol.

14%

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Celonis

$209,790 Vol.

13%

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Anduril

$352,907 Vol.

13%

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Ripple Labs

$146,538 Vol.

13%

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Fannie Mae

$162,234 Vol.

13%

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Epic Games

$74,666 Vol.

12%

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Ramp

$144,292 Vol.

11%

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Stripe

$252,985 Vol.

11%

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Ledger

$511,328 Vol.

10%

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Anduril Industries

$34,688 Vol.

9%

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ByteDance

$13,516 Vol.

8%

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Revolut

$58,987 Vol.

7%

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Waymo

$52,363 Vol.

5%

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Deel

$128,577 Vol.

5%

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Anysphere (Cursor)

$98,096 Vol.

4%

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Brex

$218,315 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX completed its record-setting IPO on June 12 at a nearly $2 trillion valuation, immediately shifting trader sentiment toward a near-certain “yes” outcome for IPOs before 2027. OpenAI confidentially filed its S-1 on June 8 targeting a potential late-2026 listing, while Anthropic submitted its own confidential filing earlier in June. These moves reflect intense AI-lab competition for capital and talent amid strong valuations for large language models, favorable equity-market conditions, and pressure to deliver liquidity to early investors. Databricks and other firms continue preparations, though some have signaled possible 2027 slippage. Key upcoming catalysts include further SEC filings, peer earnings reports, and any regulatory shifts on AI or capital markets that could accelerate or delay additional debuts in the second half of 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,599,048
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX completed its record-setting IPO on June 12 at a nearly $2 trillion valuation, immediately shifting trader sentiment toward a near-certain “yes” outcome for IPOs before 2027. OpenAI confidentially filed its S-1 on June 8 targeting a potential late-2026 listing, while Anthropic submitted its own confidential filing earlier in June. These moves reflect intense AI-lab competition for capital and talent amid strong valuations for large language models, favorable equity-market conditions, and pressure to deliver liquidity to early investors. Databricks and other firms continue preparations, though some have signaled possible 2027 slippage. Key upcoming catalysts include further SEC filings, peer earnings reports, and any regulatory shifts on AI or capital markets that could accelerate or delay additional debuts in the second half of 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,599,048
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"IPOs before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 34 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "SpaceX" at 100%, followed by "Once Upon a Farm" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IPOs before 2027?" has generated $6.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IPOs before 2027?," browse the 34 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IPOs before 2027?" is "SpaceX" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Once Upon a Farm" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IPOs before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.