Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% for Russia rejoining the G7 before 2027, driven by the group's unanimous suspension of Moscow since its 2014 Crimea annexation and the ongoing Ukraine war now in its fourth year. Recent G7 leaders' statements, including the February 24, 2026, anniversary declaration reaffirming unwavering support for Ukraine and calling for good-faith Russia-Ukraine negotiations, underscore continued isolation amid relentless assaults on civilian infrastructure. European leaders like German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and French President Emmanuel Macron have rejected U.S. President Trump's repeated advocacy for reinstatement—citing lack of consensus and no grounds—while Putin stated in December 2025 that Russia has no interest in the "irrelevant" format. Absent a comprehensive peace deal reversing sanctions and territorial claims, barriers remain insurmountable ahead of the June 2026 France-hosted summit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$14,702 Vol.
$14,702 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$14,702 Vol.
$14,702 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% for Russia rejoining the G7 before 2027, driven by the group's unanimous suspension of Moscow since its 2014 Crimea annexation and the ongoing Ukraine war now in its fourth year. Recent G7 leaders' statements, including the February 24, 2026, anniversary declaration reaffirming unwavering support for Ukraine and calling for good-faith Russia-Ukraine negotiations, underscore continued isolation amid relentless assaults on civilian infrastructure. European leaders like German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and French President Emmanuel Macron have rejected U.S. President Trump's repeated advocacy for reinstatement—citing lack of consensus and no grounds—while Putin stated in December 2025 that Russia has no interest in the "irrelevant" format. Absent a comprehensive peace deal reversing sanctions and territorial claims, barriers remain insurmountable ahead of the June 2026 France-hosted summit.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
Volume
$14,702End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% for Russia rejoining the G7 before 2027, driven by the group's unanimous suspension of Moscow since its 2014 Crimea annexation and the ongoing Ukraine war now in its fourth year. Recent G7 leaders' statements, including the February 24, 2026, anniversary declaration reaffirming unwavering support for Ukraine and calling for good-faith Russia-Ukraine negotiations, underscore continued isolation amid relentless assaults on civilian infrastructure. European leaders like German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and French President Emmanuel Macron have rejected U.S. President Trump's repeated advocacy for reinstatement—citing lack of consensus and no grounds—while Putin stated in December 2025 that Russia has no interest in the "irrelevant" format. Absent a comprehensive peace deal reversing sanctions and territorial claims, barriers remain insurmountable ahead of the June 2026 France-hosted summit.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$14,702End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% for Russia rejoining the G7 before 2027, driven by the group's unanimous suspension of Moscow since its 2014 Crimea annexation and the ongoing Ukraine war now in its fourth year. Recent G7 leaders' statements, including the February 24, 2026, anniversary declaration reaffirming unwavering support for Ukraine and calling for good-faith Russia-Ukraine negotiations, underscore continued isolation amid relentless assaults on civilian infrastructure. European leaders like German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and French President Emmanuel Macron have rejected U.S. President Trump's repeated advocacy for reinstatement—citing lack of consensus and no grounds—while Putin stated in December 2025 that Russia has no interest in the "irrelevant" format. Absent a comprehensive peace deal reversing sanctions and territorial claims, barriers remain insurmountable ahead of the June 2026 France-hosted summit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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