Skip to main content
icon for Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
Geopolitics·Chechnya

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

icon for Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
Geopolitics·Chechnya

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

$264,422 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$264,422 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$120,712 Vol.

2%

December 31

$48,156 Vol.

15%

Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ramzan Kadyrov remains head of the Chechen Republic, with his current term set to conclude ahead of regional head elections scheduled for September 2026. Persistent reports of his declining health, including kidney issues and hospitalizations in late 2025 and January 2026, have fueled succession speculation, though Kadyrov has denied serious illness and met with President Vladimir Putin as recently as April 2026. He has publicly stated fatigue with the role while signaling readiness to seek re-election with Kremlin backing. Key factors include the Putin administration’s direct role in nominating candidates, internal clan dynamics, and promotions of Kadyrov relatives and allies such as Magomed Daudov and his son Akhmat into senior positions. Any resolution hinges on federal decisions and the outcome of the 2026 selection process.

Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$264,422
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ramzan Kadyrov remains head of the Chechen Republic, with his current term set to conclude ahead of regional head elections scheduled for September 2026. Persistent reports of his declining health, including kidney issues and hospitalizations in late 2025 and January 2026, have fueled succession speculation, though Kadyrov has denied serious illness and met with President Vladimir Putin as recently as April 2026. He has publicly stated fatigue with the role while signaling readiness to seek re-election with Kremlin backing. Key factors include the Putin administration’s direct role in nominating candidates, internal clan dynamics, and promotions of Kadyrov relatives and allies such as Magomed Daudov and his son Akhmat into senior positions. Any resolution hinges on federal decisions and the outcome of the 2026 selection process.

Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$264,422
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related

icon for Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

1%
icon for Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

10%
icon for Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

6%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 14%, followed by "June 30" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?" has generated $264.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?" is "December 31" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.