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Política·Oriente Medio

¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?

icon for ¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?

Gadi Eizenkot 36.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu 32%

Naftali Bennett 23%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.4%

Polymarket

$15,992,626 Vol.

Gadi Eizenkot 36.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu 32%

Naftali Bennett 23%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.4%

Polymarket

$15,992,626 Vol.

Gadi Eizenkot

$986,129 Vol.

36%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$1,420,063 Vol.

32%

Naftali Bennett

$1,584,567 Vol.

23%

Avigdor Lieberman

$1,092,012 Vol.

3%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$1,015,247 Vol.

1%

Gilad Erdan

$54,424 Vol.

1%

Yariv Levin

$634,409 Vol.

1%

Yossi Cohen

$1,012,379 Vol.

1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$1,153,598 Vol.

<1%

Yair Lapid

$812,799 Vol.

<1%

Benny Gantz

$522,046 Vol.

<1%

Israel Katz

$394,763 Vol.

<1%

Amir Ohana

$971,398 Vol.

<1%

Yair Golan

$980,373 Vol.

<1%

Nir Barkat

$588,805 Vol.

<1%

Ayelet Shaked

$974,673 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$700,429 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$1,100,758 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gadi Eisenkot’s independent Yashar party has gained ground in recent Israeli polls as a centrist security-focused alternative, narrowing the gap with Naftali Bennett’s Together list (formed with Yair Lapid in April 2026) and positioning both as leading challengers to incumbent Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud ahead of the October 2026 Knesset election. Netanyahu’s coalition continues to lead in party projections but faces headwinds from voter fatigue and opposition consolidation efforts, while Eisenkot’s military credentials and independent run have boosted his personal standing in suitability surveys. The tight market reflects ongoing uncertainty over opposition mergers, bloc leadership, and whether Likud can retain enough coalition partners to form a government. Further polling shifts, formal alliances, or major security developments could quickly widen the margins among the top three contenders.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$15,992,626
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gadi Eisenkot’s independent Yashar party has gained ground in recent Israeli polls as a centrist security-focused alternative, narrowing the gap with Naftali Bennett’s Together list (formed with Yair Lapid in April 2026) and positioning both as leading challengers to incumbent Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud ahead of the October 2026 Knesset election. Netanyahu’s coalition continues to lead in party projections but faces headwinds from voter fatigue and opposition consolidation efforts, while Eisenkot’s military credentials and independent run have boosted his personal standing in suitability surveys. The tight market reflects ongoing uncertainty over opposition mergers, bloc leadership, and whether Likud can retain enough coalition partners to form a government. Further polling shifts, formal alliances, or major security developments could quickly widen the margins among the top three contenders.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$15,992,626
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 18 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gadi Eizenkot" con 36%, seguido de "Benjamin Netanyahu" con 32%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" ha generado $16 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 15, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?", explora los 18 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" es "Gadi Eizenkot" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Benjamin Netanyahu" con 32%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.