Recent U.S.-facilitated trilateral negotiations between Israel and Lebanon produced a ceasefire extension and commitments to halt Hezbollah operations in southern sectors, directly lowering risks to the Beirut embassy compound and supporting continued operations with core diplomatic staff in place. Earlier partial drawdowns of non-emergency personnel addressed heightened regional tensions tied to Iran-related developments, yet no full embassy evacuation has been announced or required amid the current stabilization. Ongoing security assessments and scheduled follow-up talks the week of June 22 reinforce trader consensus against a complete withdrawal by June 30. A sudden breakdown in the ceasefire, renewed cross-border clashes, or major incident could still prompt reassessment within the remaining window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
$55,076 Vol.
$55,076 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$55,076 Vol.
$55,076 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent U.S.-facilitated trilateral negotiations between Israel and Lebanon produced a ceasefire extension and commitments to halt Hezbollah operations in southern sectors, directly lowering risks to the Beirut embassy compound and supporting continued operations with core diplomatic staff in place. Earlier partial drawdowns of non-emergency personnel addressed heightened regional tensions tied to Iran-related developments, yet no full embassy evacuation has been announced or required amid the current stabilization. Ongoing security assessments and scheduled follow-up talks the week of June 22 reinforce trader consensus against a complete withdrawal by June 30. A sudden breakdown in the ceasefire, renewed cross-border clashes, or major incident could still prompt reassessment within the remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Volume
$55,076End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent U.S.-facilitated trilateral negotiations between Israel and Lebanon produced a ceasefire extension and commitments to halt Hezbollah operations in southern sectors, directly lowering risks to the Beirut embassy compound and supporting continued operations with core diplomatic staff in place. Earlier partial drawdowns of non-emergency personnel addressed heightened regional tensions tied to Iran-related developments, yet no full embassy evacuation has been announced or required amid the current stabilization. Ongoing security assessments and scheduled follow-up talks the week of June 22 reinforce trader consensus against a complete withdrawal by June 30. A sudden breakdown in the ceasefire, renewed cross-border clashes, or major incident could still prompt reassessment within the remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$55,076End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-facilitated trilateral negotiations between Israel and Lebanon produced a ceasefire extension and commitments to halt Hezbollah operations in southern sectors, directly lowering risks to the Beirut embassy compound and supporting continued operations with core diplomatic staff in place. Earlier partial drawdowns of non-emergency personnel addressed heightened regional tensions tied to Iran-related developments, yet no full embassy evacuation has been announced or required amid the current stabilization. Ongoing security assessments and scheduled follow-up talks the week of June 22 reinforce trader consensus against a complete withdrawal by June 30. A sudden breakdown in the ceasefire, renewed cross-border clashes, or major incident could still prompt reassessment within the remaining window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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