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Politics·Israel

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

icon for Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?
Politics·Israel

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

$31,044 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$31,044 Vol.

Polymarket

April 30

$27,237 Vol.

<1%

June 30

$0 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US diplomatic pressure has intensified for direct talks between Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, with the US embassy in Beirut urging a sit-down yesterday that could prompt IDF withdrawal from southern Lebanon. This builds on a mid-April 10-day ceasefire amid Hezbollah border clashes, marred by mutual violation accusations—Aoun insists on full Israeli compliance before negotiations. Aoun rejected a US-backed phone call on April 16 despite President Trump's announcement, prioritizing de-escalation signals. Traders assess ceasefire durability, potential mid-May Washington summit, and Lebanese political resistance as pivotal to any Netanyahu-Aoun contact, reflecting fragile multilateral diplomacy in ongoing Israel-Lebanon tensions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$31,044
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US diplomatic pressure has intensified for direct talks between Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, with the US embassy in Beirut urging a sit-down yesterday that could prompt IDF withdrawal from southern Lebanon. This builds on a mid-April 10-day ceasefire amid Hezbollah border clashes, marred by mutual violation accusations—Aoun insists on full Israeli compliance before negotiations. Aoun rejected a US-backed phone call on April 16 despite President Trump's announcement, prioritizing de-escalation signals. Traders assess ceasefire durability, potential mid-May Washington summit, and Lebanese political resistance as pivotal to any Netanyahu-Aoun contact, reflecting fragile multilateral diplomacy in ongoing Israel-Lebanon tensions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$31,044
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30" at 46%, followed by "April 30" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" has generated $31K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" is "June 30" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 30" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.